Combining the current macro capital inflows and the completion of de-leveraging in derivatives, MAXETH has established a foundation for short-term rebound and medium-term structural opportunities in the market. Pay attention to the 0.618 retracement level as current support; if the daily close holds above this level, bulls can position for a stage rally with the first upward resistance at the previous high (refer to specific intraday price levels for guidance). If it is breached effectively, monitor the 200-day moving average below. With improved short-term liquidity, beware of pullback risks caused by high volatility; position management and phased trading are advised. Overall, maintain a bullish bias, focusing on the continued improvement of capital flows and the performance at key technical levels.

This week, Bitcoin and Ethereum posted gains of about 4% and 6% respectively, lifting the overall crypto market capitalization by nearly 5%. ETF inflows have significantly improved, with single-day net inflows exceeding $600 million, reversing the previous two weeks of capital outflows. Although market sentiment still remains in the 'extreme fear' zone, the improvement in capital flows helps restore short-term sentiment, offering MAXETH a rebound opportunity.

Gate Ventures reports a rebound in the cryptocurrency market with BTC and ETH rising 4.13% and 6.61%, respectively, boosting total crypto market cap by 4.82%. ETF inflows improved, reversing two weeks of outflows, with BTC and ETH ETFs gaining approximately $459 million and $161 million. Despite price gains, market sentiment remains in "extreme fear." Mid- and small-cap assets outperformed, led by Memecoins. Ecosystem growth is driven by Ethereum scaling, institutional tokenized finance, and demand for compliant decentralized AI infrastructure. Four funding events raised about $17 million, mainly for data and infrastructure, signaling ongoing long-term development amid cautious short-term sentiment.

Gate Ventures: The cryptocurrency market rebounds, ETF fund inflows signal improvements in market structure.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

QCP's market analysis on January 5 highlights a strengthening crypto market in Asia, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surpassing $92,000 and $3,100 respectively, driven by US actions in Venezuela, year-end tax-loss trading, and rising crypto legislation expectations. Speculation about Venezuela holding significant "shadow Bitcoin reserves" and using USDT in oil trades could make it a major sovereign BTC holder. Options data show a bullish shift, with increased call options and straddle strategies indicating short covering and bets on upward volatility.

QCP: Venezuela Situation and Options Funding Resonance Strengthen Bullish Expectations in the Crypto Market

Since October 2025, nearly $30 billion in leveraged positions have been liquidated in the BTC and ETH derivatives market, resulting in a notable decrease in overall market leverage. The deleveraging process aids prices in returning to fundamentals and provides more solid upward momentum for subsequent market moves. In this context, as an Ethereum-linked leveraged token, MAXETH may experience converging price volatility and benefit structurally from the market repricing process.

Matrixport's latest analysis indicates that after a significant deleveraging in the derivatives market, the crypto market may establish a more solid foundation for a new rally in 2026. Since October 2025, nearly $30 billion in leverage from BTC and ETH futures contracts has been cleared, resulting in lighter positions and lower leverage. This shift is expected to bring prices closer to fundamental values and open up upside potential as speculative overheating cools down.

Matrixport: After the clearing of derivative leverage, a new round of market trends may begin in 2026 on a more robust foundation.

Currently, small and mid-cap assets are leading the market gains, with most projects performing impressively during the rebound cycle and some meme coins posting over 30% gains in 24 hours. This environment of rising risk appetite helps boost MAXETH’s trading activity and liquidity, but could also increase short-term volatility risks. Traders should be wary of rapid pullbacks triggered by aggressive buying and selling.

During the resilience test week from December 29, 2025, to January 2, 2026, most of the top 200 projects on CoinMarketCap saw gains amid multiple uncertainties. Notably, BTC rose 4.2%, ETH increased 6.92%, SOL gained 7.93%, MYX surged 84.42%, and PEPE jumped 54.1%, as the market sought a new balance.

Resilience Testing Week: The Market Seeks a New Balance Amid Multiple Uncertainties Hotcoin Research | December 29, 2025 - January 2, 2026

Meme coin FISH reached a market cap of $12 million with a 35.7% 24-hour increase. Bitcoin briefly fell below $91,000 amid doubts about the crypto market rebound. US crypto stocks mostly declined, except Strategy, which rose 4.43%. Post-US employment data, the Fed's January rate cut probability decreased. Falcon launched an off-chain Bitcoin yield vault with an expected annual return of 3-5%. Perp DEX airdrops and Solana's "invisible tax" on users were also highlighted.

Key market information gap on January 8, must see! | Alpha Morning Report.

According to Bybit's latest candlestick chart, MAXETH has retreated after testing previous highs but has consistently held short-term moving average support. If the daily close remains above the 0.618 retracement level, it could provide a second entry opportunity for bulls; if it breaks below this support, attention should shift to the strength of the 200-day moving average below. Volume combined with key moving average cross signals will be crucial in determining the next trend.

Max on ETH

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