SONIC is currently under dual pressure from regulatory uncertainty and shrinking liquidity, oscillating in the $0.0365–$0.0375 range in the short term, lacking volume momentum, and remaining in a weak technical consolidation. It is recommended to pay attention to its compliance progress and community empowerment. If SONIC can leverage the global compliance window and blockchain infrastructure upgrades to strengthen project transparency and user education, it holds medium-to-long-term opportunities to regain institutional allocations and incremental capital. In the short term, position sizes should be controlled and one should wait for a volume breakout. The key upward resistance is at $0.042, and if the $0.036 area is breached downward, further correction risks should be noted.

Recently, global regulatory approaches to crypto assets have diverged. On one hand, Russia has included certain cryptocurrencies as nationally preferred assets, and major financial institutions in Europe and the US are accelerating blockchain infrastructure upgrades, sparking a short-term bullish sentiment in the market. SONIC's price surged to $0.0515 on March 17, with trading volume soaring to tens of millions of dollars. However, negative sentiments rapidly mounted due to Circle's share price decline, major exchanges tightening market maker qualifications, and some community skepticism toward new projects, leading to a swift retreat in speculative enthusiasm, significant price pullback, and intensified market volatility from long-short competition.

PANews weekly review covers key topics including Trump's hopes to end the Iran war quickly amid global energy market impacts, Russia's move to regulate cryptocurrencies as state-selected assets, and Fannie Mae accepting Bitcoin for mortgages. It highlights AI industry shifts with OpenAI shutting down Sora, debates on AI power centralization, and major blockchain infrastructure upgrades in Wall Street. The report also discusses crypto market challenges like Circle's stock plunge, Binance's market maker crackdown, and community backlash over Backpack's token launch.

A Week in Review | Trump hopes to end the war quickly, but Backpack's token launch has left the community disheartened.

From the daily chart, after the March 17 peak, SONIC continued its downtrend, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows, breaking below two key supports at $0.042 and $0.038. It is now ranging sideways between $0.0365 and $0.0375, with trading volume down over 40% from previous levels, indicating markedly reduced liquidity and volatility. Retail participation is dampened by regulatory uncertainty, security risks, and usage barriers. In the short term, the price may continue to test this range repeatedly, with the next direction likely to be determined once trading volume stabilizes.

Tiger Research's report analyzes the decline of retail cryptocurrency investors despite rapid market growth, focusing on nine major Asian markets. It identifies five core barriers—regulatory uncertainty, security risks, tax burdens, usability challenges, and social perception—that hinder new user adoption. The report details diverse regulatory and market conditions across Northeast and Southeast Asia, examines exchange strategies for user acquisition, and highlights the need for localized education, transparency, and trust-building before the next crypto bull market.

Tiger Research: Analysis of the Current Status of Retail Investors in Nine Major Asian Markets

In the long run, accelerated on-chain adoption by global financial institutions and legal recognition of crypto assets in some countries are creating policy windows for high-quality public chain projects. The market’s demand for transparency and trust is growing, and only those projects that closely align with local compliance requirements, strengthen user education, and build secure user experiences will stand out in the next market cycle. If SONIC can seize the opportunity presented by these infrastructure upgrades, optimize its compliance architecture, and enhance community engagement, it stands to rebuild investor confidence and attract greater incremental capital.

Sonic Solana

Crypto braces for volatility as Warsh hearing nears and rate cut odds slide

Economist: US March CPI monthly rate may surge 1%, Federal Reserve may find it difficult to cut interest rates this year.

Economists predict that the US CPI will increase by 1% month-over-month in March, making it difficult for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.

Slepne: The European Central Bank will discuss either raising interest rates or keeping them unchanged.

Economist: US March CPI monthly rate may surge 1%, the Fed may find it difficult to cut interest rates this year

Trump’s statement boosts odds of Iranian regime falling by June 30 to 14%

US forces’ entry into Iran by April 30 market jumps to 86% amid clashes

Odds for US forces entering Iran by April 30 rise to 86.5% after F-15E recovery

US-Europe alliance strains over Iran conflict as ceasefire odds plummet

US considers seizing strategic islands near Iran, ceasefire odds plummet

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