Currently, FINA benefits from the recovery of crypto market sentiment and moderate expansion. There is a clear short-term premium driver, but overall market leverage is not overheated, and the structure remains relatively healthy. From a technical perspective, both price and open interest are rising slightly together, with momentum yet to be fully released. If subsequent indicators diverge or support weakens, short-term pullback pressure could easily emerge. In the short term, it is recommended to focus on the 0.62–0.65 support zone, accumulate positions on dips in batches, and strictly set stop-losses. For medium-term strategies, control position sizes to cope with volatility, closely monitor market sentiment evolution and volume changes, and be wary of the adjustment risk brought by sentiment cooling.

According to market data, overall sentiment in crypto assets is gradually recovering, and the market is exiting the previous deleveraging phase and entering a round of moderate expansion. Currently, long-short indicators show a rebound in market optimism, but there is not yet a risk of excessive leverage, indicating a healthier market structure and eased liquidation pressure. As a secondary asset with a high-risk profile, FINA is likely to gain premium opportunities during this spot-driven rotation, with positive sentiment providing clear short-term benefits.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Currently, the market price and open interest are rising slightly in sync, indicating that supply and demand are gradually tilting towards buyers, but momentum has not shown a significant breakout increase. If technical indicators show clear divergence and prices lack support, short-term profit-taking could be triggered. For FINA in the short term, be cautious of pullback risks when market expectations are extensively realized. Consider deploying positions near key support levels and control overall exposure to manage potential volatility.

Defina Finance

Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Huatai Securities: March Nonfarm Payroll Data Reflects Resilience of the US Job Market, Inflation Becomes the Core Variable in Fed Policy

Crypto traders fade 2026 Fed cuts as U.S. unemployment dips, but risk assets hold bid

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice this year to support the labor market.

CICC: Investment demand and prices for gold may both have room for upward correction.

Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

Fed's Daly: The Federal Reserve should focus on the employment rate rather than employment data.

US military activity in Iran drives prediction market surge for troop presence

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