Although the FACT token shows signs of stabilization and a short-term rebound, there is still doubt over the sustainability of this movement, given that trading volume and liquidity have not expanded effectively. It is advisable to closely monitor whether the price can hold above previous key resistance zones (Quantitative suggestion: refer to recent high-volume transaction areas and use ±5% fluctuations as breakout and adjustment thresholds), and pay close attention to volume confirmation. For medium to long-term strategies, manage position sizes according to market trends: participate in batches when the trend is clear, and strictly set stop-losses and take profits during consolidation or downtrends—avoid blind bottom-fishing. Considering the current weak liquidity and high slippage risk in derivatives, short-term trading positions should be kept moderate to prevent irrational fluctuations caused by market divergence, prioritizing highly liquid, mainstream event-driven assets. The overall strategy should be centered on 'trend-following + risk management,' with dynamic risk exposure adjustment and improved capital efficiency.

Recently, the market has started to show signs of slight recovery, with bulls and bears locked in a tug-of-war in the bottom zone. Although a clear trend reversal has not formed yet, some on-chain and derivatives inflow data indicate that selling pressure has eased, meaning market sentiment may have a chance to shift from overly pessimistic back to neutral. However, trading volume and capital flow coordination still require validation—if large-scale follow-up buying does not occur, the rebound may not be sustainable. Attention should be paid to volume breakthroughs and the effectiveness of price resistance zones.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Before a clear overall market trend emerges, adhering to trend-following investing principles is especially important. In identified bull market phases, gradual position building can capture trend-driven gains; whereas during consolidation or downward phases, positions should be reduced or profits taken decisively to lock in gains and control drawdowns. Avoid forced bottom-fishing or top-hunting, and set sensible risk management parameters, stop-loss, and take-profit points. Integrating trading win rate management with risk exposure can enhance long-term capital efficiency and improve portfolio curve stability.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Derivatives and short-term event-driven markets generally face insufficient liquidity; small contract sizes dominate most trading pairs but are unable to support large orders, which are prone to trigger slippage and liquidation risks. In contrast, long-term thematic or mainstream macro event markets have better depth, with concentrated volume and relatively mild volatility. If FACT token sees high-volume trading in a short-term high-frequency environment, attention must be paid to order book depth and the impact of large trades on price, so as to avoid irrational volatility from liquidity fragmentation.

Factor

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Global markets are fretting about growth due to the war in Iran. A slowdown is something stocks can handle. However, the risk that the global economy tips the wrong way is also increasing.

Fed's Musalem: The current interest rate setting remains appropriate

BoE's Bailey: Markets getting ahead of themselves by pricing in rate hikes – Reuters

Exclusive: Bank of England's Bailey says investors should not count on UK rate hikes

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Eurozone: Inflation sparks ECB rate repricing – DBS

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