The current MXY market shows signs of sentiment recovery, but with main funds still waiting on the sidelines and an intensifying liquidity divergence. Although daily price charts display an oscillating upward trend, trading volume has not expanded effectively, indicating that the increase in risk appetite lacks sustained buying support. Short-term trading depth remains low, and large single trades can easily trigger price fluctuations. Focus should be placed on the core support range, and special caution is advised against technical correction risks amid persistently low trading volumes and the absence of continuous capital inflows. It is recommended to participate in phases, dynamically track order book placements and key support levels (referencing recent low points), strictly control stop-losses, and be alert to irrational volatility caused by liquidity exhaustion.

Recently, the crypto market has begun showing initial signs of a phased recovery, though the overall trend has yet to be fully confirmed. From MXY’s daily chart perspective, while prices have edged upwards with slight fluctuations, trading volume has not increased significantly, reflecting that major funds are still adopting a wait-and-see attitude. Driven by current news, market sentiment may continue to recover in the short term, but without substantial follow-up buying, a technical correction may occur once liquidity retreats. Therefore, when following sentiment-driven swings, investors should focus on defending key support levels and monitoring changes in trading volume to avoid taking on excessive risk before the trend truly reverses.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

From the liquidity distribution across derivative and spot markets, crypto assets generally face low trading depth in the short term, with a high overall concentration of transactions. MXY similarly struggles with insufficient liquidity, where single-day trading is prone to widened price spreads and sudden price drops. In contrast, long-term contracts and macro-hedging products feature a more stable pattern of capital inflow, while short-term investors in the MXY market are engaged in nearly 'high-frequency gaming' rather than value hunting. Given this, MXY’s short-term price movements are more susceptible to shocks from large single trades; investors should pay attention to order book depth and liquidity distribution and beware irrational bursts of volatility caused by liquidity dry-ups.

Metaxy

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice this year to support the labor market.

Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

Fed's Daly: The Federal Reserve should focus on the employment rate rather than employment data.

Market Edges Higher; Strong U.S. Jobs Data Complicates Rate Outlook

KPMG: The Federal Reserve is expected to be forced to raise interest rates in the second half of the year.

Trump warns of more strikes after Iran bridge attack, Bitcoin retreats

Market Analysis: Significant Increase in Non-Farm Payrolls Eases Employment Market Concerns, Fed's Cautious Stance Expected to Continue

US Non-Farm Payrolls Data Exceeds Expectations Much More! Here Are the Details

Analysis: The non-farm payroll data still shows obvious fluctuations, and the threshold for the Federal Reserve to adjust its policy remains quite high.

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