NPC benefits from the overall market sentiment rebound, with a phase of increased activity, but has yet to break through the key resistance zone in the short term (current resistance at approximately 2.10, support at 1.76), leaving the trend still unclear. Liquidity differentiation and insufficient order book depth have led to significantly higher short-term trading slippage and volatility risks, so investors should closely monitor trading volume and order book structure, and control position sizes. In the medium to long term, advancements in prediction markets and autonomous agent technology are expected to continuously enhance the fundamental value of NPC, but full value realization still relies on protocol implementation and user growth. Recommendation: Remain cautious in the short term and adjust strategies flexibly around key price zones; for the medium and long term, consider accumulating gradually on dips, prioritizing monitoring ecosystem progress and signs of liquidity improvement.

Recently, major on-chain and derivatives data have begun to show initial signs of improved market sentiment, but enough momentum for a sustained rally has not yet accumulated. Technically, NPC’s price is consolidating near key moving averages, without breaking through major resistance or breaching primary support, indicating that short-term trends remain uncertain. The current sentiment recovery may bring increased short-term activity to NPC, but investors should remain vigilant, closely monitoring whether trading volume and volatility metrics confirm the shift, in order to guard against heightened reversal risks.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

As prediction markets and autonomous agent technologies gradually mature, NPC, as a potential infrastructure token, is supported by intrinsic value in the medium to long term. On one hand, the expansion of prediction market ecosystems will drive demand for decentralized oracle and auto-settlement function tokens; on the other, the launch and iteration of autonomous agents is expected to bring more on-chain application scenarios, enabling the token to play a more significant role in governance and incentives. Overall, this trend provides a positive outlook for NPC's long-term value, but actual progress in protocol adoption and user growth remains critical.

The report by Noya.ai explores the rise of prediction markets and presents the blueprint for intelligent agents designed to operate within these markets, highlighting their potential impact and future developments.

Noya.ai Research Report: A Preview of Predictive Market Agents

Market data indicate that short-term contracts and fast-decision products are seeing a distinct lack of liquidity, with overall order depth significantly lower than that of long-term thematic markets. If NPC lacks sufficient trading participants in the derivatives or short-cycle application markets, the order book becomes susceptible to large order sweeps, widening bid-ask spreads and causing slippage risk. Moreover, liquidity highly concentrated in only a few popular contracts may further amplify price volatility for NPC in secondary markets. Investors should monitor order book depth and trade volume distribution to assess trading costs and risk levels in the short term.

Crypto Market Advances; US Regulators Convene Banks on AI Cyber Threat

JPY: Neutral rate debate supports gradual gains – Commerzbank

Analysis: Bitcoin surged to $73K after the CPI release, with the market focusing on whether it can retest the high range.

US: Energy shock complicates Fed path – Commerzbank

The initial expected one-year inflation rate in the US for April is 4.8%, with an expectation of 4.3%.

U.S. April one-year inflation expectation preliminary reading at 4.8%, expected 4.3%

Hassett: The Federal Reserve still has room to cut interest rates, outlook remains stable.

The market expects only about a one-third probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points this year.

Hassett: The Federal Reserve still has room to cut interest rates, and this outlook will be very solid.

Hassett: The Strait of Hormuz can be reopened within two months, and the Federal Reserve still has room to cut interest rates.

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