The current market is in the early stages of a bull run, with both major and altcoins experiencing significant short-term volatility, creating temporary net outflow pressure on the stablecoin USDW. In the short term, the liquidity within the pool is expected to shrink slightly. However, observing the overall recovery in trading volume and on-chain liquidity, the mid-to-long-term demand for USDW as a core settlement asset and safe haven is likely to strengthen. It is advisable to watch for inflection points of USDW pool size rebound within 1-2 quarters, optimize allocations on dips, and pay attention to the valuation recovery opportunities for stablecoins brought by improving market risk appetite.

At the beginning of the year, Bitcoin's price once broke through $90,000, with most major and altcoins surging by more than 20%. However, fear and caution still dominate overall liquidity allocation in the market. Under these circumstances, USDW may face short-term net outflow pressures, as traders tend to switch USDW into more volatile assets in search of rapid gains, causing slight contraction of stablecoin pool liquidity. Meanwhile, depressed altcoin season indicators and high fear indices suggest that the rotation of funds from safe-haven tools back to risk assets is not yet fully established, resulting in phased fluctuations in the demand for USDW as an anchor safe-haven asset.

At the start of the year, the crypto market saw a rare upward breakthrough with BTC surpassing $90,000 and major altcoins like ETH and SOL rising. Several altcoins, including PEPE and IP, surged over 20%. However, key indicators show the market is still in a "price repair" phase with overall market cap below previous highs, a low altseason index, and fear-dominated sentiment. While some view this as a buying opportunity amid improving liquidity and macroeconomic developments, caution remains advised.

Speculation sentiment rises again at the beginning of the year, is the altcoin season repeating?

Despite obvious short-term mood swings, as expectations for trading volume and overall liquidity continue to improve, the core status of stablecoins in trading pair settlement and cross-chain bridge capital allocation will be further strengthened. Analyst views on liquidity improvement indicate that USDW could benefit in the mid-to-long term from growing demand for derivatives and leveraged position locking. In addition, as the macro cycle's pessimism gradually fades, the need for stable asset allocation within investment portfolios will rise, providing USDW with a stable capital source and the potential to improve retained user stickiness.

USD DWIN

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