The Fed's rate cut expectations and the revival of US stock market liquidity are resonating to drive market risk appetite upward, with funds gradually shifting from the technology sector to non-correlated assets. USDA is benefiting from this round of liquidity-driven momentum and is likely to test the short-term resistance zone (recommended strategy: pay attention to the 2.13-2.25 range). However, close monitoring of policy disruptions and risk of sentiment reversal is needed. In terms of operation, it is advised to flexibly adjust positions around key zones and set clear stop-losses for short-term trades, while long-term allocations should closely track changes in the macro environment and project fundamentals to guard against valuation adjustment pressure from marginal liquidity tightening.

Recently, the S&P 500 has risen for several consecutive months and is approaching historic highs, reflecting heightened expectations for a shift in monetary policy. Investors are highly focused on the upcoming Fed meeting minutes, with potential rate cut expectations keeping market liquidity abundant. In this environment, demand for risk asset allocation is rising in tandem, laying a favorable foundation for the short-term performance of high-beta tokens like USDA.

U.S. stocks are near historic highs, with the S&P 500 just 1% shy of 7,000 points and poised for an eighth consecutive monthly gain, the longest streak since 2017-2018. Market momentum favors bulls unless an external shock occurs. Investors focus on the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting minutes and potential rate cuts, as well as Trump's nomination for a new Fed chair. While tech stocks struggle, other sectors show strength, indicating a rotation into more moderately valued areas.

The market focuses on Federal Reserve policies and sector rotation, with U.S. stocks sprinting to record highs.

As the technology sector undergoes some adjustment, mid-valuation and defensive sectors are being favored, resulting in a cross-market flow of funds. During sector rotation, investors seek diversified allocations, and crypto assets, as one of the non-correlated asset classes, can play a hedge or appreciation role amid volatility in traditional markets. Accordingly, USDA is likely to be favored and supported by active buying against the backdrop of capital outflows from other sectors.

Driven by continued liquidity abundance and rising risk appetite, USDA is expected to test upper resistance and achieve a short-term rebound. However, investors should remain vigilant against market sentiment fluctuations and sudden policy events that may impact prices. Short-term trading should focus on key resistance and support levels with strict take-profit and stop-loss controls; mid- to long-term allocation should be based on project fundamentals and macro policy progress, with caution toward valuation volatility from marginal liquidity changes.

AURO USDA

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