BOOM is currently driven by a recovery in market sentiment. In the short term, its price has stabilized near key moving averages, and trading volume has moderately increased. If support is maintained, it is expected that within the fluctuation range (recommended focus: 2.10-2.35), bulls may lead a modest upward movement. In the medium to long term, positive industry fundamentals and macro trends are driving the logic of value recovery. It is suggested to accumulate positions gradually on dips and strengthen trend following strategies. Be cautious of liquidity divergence in derivatives; if short-term hot topics trigger market focus, volatility and risk will rise. Investors can dynamically adjust their positions according to liquidity allocation to improve asset flexibility.

Recent candlestick charts show BOOM's price fluctuating near key moving averages. Trading volume, while not dramatically rising, is gradually increasing. This aligns with the recovery in market sentiment, with bulls becoming more active and willing to test breakouts. In the current price zone, buyers are probing near short-term highs. If moving average support persists, a slight upward trend could form in the near term.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

From a medium to long-term perspective, experienced industry investors still rely on value and trend judgments as the main drivers. Positive macro environment and industry fundamentals support a bullish market logic. As an emerging token, BOOM stands to benefit from trend-driven capital allocation and may see valuation recovery during foreseeable bull market cycles. For strategic investors, accumulating in stages on dips conforms to the core principles of value investment and trend following.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated that respected investors like Buffett profit from value and trends, not speculation. He affirmed that 2024 is set to be a bull market due to macro and industry factors beyond individual control. Short sellers are making a final effort but face losses—exiting early means small losses, exiting late means large losses. After a month of market volatility, optimism will prevail while pessimists lag behind.

Yi Lihua: Trend is better than speculation, the bull market is set, bears face "small losses early, big losses late."

Research from market analysis institutions on decentralized prediction platforms indicates that short-term crypto derivatives markets currently have relatively low liquidity, while long-term and macro-political markets see capital concentration. If BOOM participates in voting or staking on similar platforms in the future, such liquidity divergence should be considered. In high-frequency trading scenarios, liquidity concentrates in a few popular contracts, meaning that if BOOM becomes a focal point, short-term price volatility could intensify; conversely, in long-term political or macro themes, its liquidity growth would be more sustainable.

Bubblemaps analysis challenges claims of insider trading on Polymarket, highlighting flaws in linking a Polymarket insider's receipt of about 250 SOL from Coinbase to a prior similar deposit with a 99% correlation. They point out issues like large time gaps, ignoring other assets, and multiple matching cases within the same day. Deposits could stem from various sources or older transactions. They warn that improper use of time analysis can lead to incorrect conclusions.

Bubblemaps: Some analyses targeting Polymarket insiders in the market are flawed.

Boom

The market's quick reversal of optimism led to a sharp decline in Japanese and South Korean stock markets.

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US strikes on Iran heighten odds of military escalation

The Bank of Canada: The Iran war should not overshadow other economic risks.

Global markets are fretting about growth due to the war in Iran. A slowdown is something stocks can handle. However, the risk that the global economy tips the wrong way is also increasing.

Fed's Musalem: The current interest rate setting remains appropriate

BoE's Bailey: Markets getting ahead of themselves by pricing in rate hikes – Reuters

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