BUTTCOIN benefits from improved liquidity and sectoral capital rotation in the current market environment, but crowding-out effects and emotional volatility may intensify short-term pressure. It is important to monitor key technical levels with corresponding volume and price action; if the price falls below the cost range (reference: 0.072–0.075 USDT), it is necessary to cut losses decisively. In the medium term, the meme attribute—lacking real-world application or compliance expectations—cannot support a price premium. Low position participation and profit-taking on rallies are advised. Keep an eye on whether it can capture mainstream narratives like 'Asset Tokenization' or 'AI+' to attract capital.

Recently, the rebound in Bitcoin and Ethereum has driven the overall crypto market capitalization to rise significantly. Continuous ETF inflows have improved the previous capital outflow situation over the past two weeks. Institutional participation and enhanced regulatory compliance have further strengthened market resilience. At the same time, traditional cyclical logic has been disrupted by macro policy expectations, and the liquidity environment is likely to see periodical easing in the future.

Gate Ventures reports a rebound in the cryptocurrency market with BTC and ETH rising 4.13% and 6.61%, respectively, boosting total crypto market cap by 4.82%. ETF inflows improved, reversing two weeks of outflows, with BTC and ETH ETFs gaining approximately $459 million and $161 million. Despite price gains, market sentiment remains in "extreme fear." Mid- and small-cap assets outperformed, led by Memecoins. Ecosystem growth is driven by Ethereum scaling, institutional tokenized finance, and demand for compliant decentralized AI infrastructure. Four funding events raised about $17 million, mainly for data and infrastructure, signaling ongoing long-term development amid cautious short-term sentiment.

Gate Ventures: The cryptocurrency market rebounds, ETF fund inflows signal improvements in market structure.

Bybit's 2026 Crypto Outlook report suggests the traditional Bitcoin "four-year cycle" may no longer apply directly to the current market. Key points include potential support from expected Fed easing, a 10.3% implied chance of Bitcoin reaching $150,000 by year-end, increased institutional participation, improved regulation, and macroeconomic support disrupting old cycles. Tokenization of real-world assets and expanding stablecoin use are highlighted as major 2026 themes.

"The Four-Year Cycle" Is No Longer a Universal Formula? Bybit Releases 2026 Cryptocurrency Outlook Report

Binance Research highlights that despite the Fed's easing policies, cautious investor sentiment has kept the crypto market declining. Bitcoin and Ethereum's dominance grows as asset managers increase holdings. January may mark a bearish trend reversal as investors shift from overvalued assets to crypto. In 2026, accelerated Fed easing and rising long-term premiums amid fiscal pressures could benefit Bitcoin, leveraging cheap liquidity and credit erosion. Altcoin ETFs see net inflows, contrasting Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs' outflows. Stablecoins surpass $1 billion market caps, becoming key global financial indicators.

Binance Report: Expectations of Accelerated Fed Rate Cuts in 2026 Are Positive for Bitcoin, January May Be a Turning Point for the Bearish Trend

Short-term holders are restricting sell pressure due to losses below their cost basis. Although overall market sentiment has eased somewhat, it remains cautious. Rotation among small- and mid-cap assets and theme sectors has intensified, shifting from purely meme coins to tokens with real-world utility or 'AI+' concepts. As a small- to mid-cap asset, BUTTCOIN needs to closely monitor major market capital flows and emerging hot spots, as it may face the impact of a sector crowding-out effect in the short term.

On January 6, with Bitcoin holding above $93,000, the crypto market saw funds shift from Meme coins to tokens with practical applications, notably AI-themed tokens. Functional indices like DeFi and metaverse rose over 4%, while Meme coin indices remained flat or declined. Render Network surged about 20%, and other AI tokens gained over 6%. This trend aligns with optimism in AI and tech stocks, though geopolitical risks and US employment data may impact sentiment. Continued Bitcoin ETF inflows are crucial for further gains.

Analysis: The crypto market's rebound momentum strengthens, with AI concept tokens outperforming Meme coins.

Meme coin FISH reached a market cap of $12 million with a 35.7% 24-hour increase. Bitcoin briefly fell below $91,000 amid doubts about the crypto market rebound. US crypto stocks mostly declined, except Strategy, which rose 4.43%. Post-US employment data, the Fed's January rate cut probability decreased. Falcon launched an off-chain Bitcoin yield vault with an expected annual return of 3-5%. Perp DEX airdrops and Solana's "invisible tax" on users were also highlighted.

Key market information gap on January 8, must see! | Alpha Morning Report.

If the overall market remains above the upper edge of the short-term cost range, it will provide momentum for the next upward move; conversely, if there is a volume-less pullback, sideways volatility may persist. Given the high volatility, BUTTCOIN should closely monitor trading volume at its key support and resistance levels to avoid falling below the cost range when trading volume contracts.

CryptoQuant analyst Axel notes that Bitcoin's current rise benefits from reduced selling pressure by short-term holders, who are currently at a loss since BTC trades below their average acquisition cost. This limits their profit-taking potential and suppresses sell pressure, explaining price resilience despite pullbacks. However, if BTC reaches $100,000, short-term holders may break even and start selling, creating price pressure. A key bullish signal is BTC closing above the short-term holders' realized price.

Analyst: The current BTC rise benefits from reduced selling pressure; if it reaches $100K, it will face selling from short-term holders.

By 2026, mainstream themes will focus on asset tokenization, compliant AI, and fundamental data infrastructure. Meme coins that are purely speculative and lack project delivery and compliance pathways will struggle to maintain long-term value. If BUTTCOIN can connect to emerging application scenarios or compliant frameworks, it will attract more attention during sector transformation; otherwise, it risks being marginalized by capital.

The cryptocurrency market is broadly declining, with BTC falling 1.08% to $91,900 and ETH down 2.05% to $3,187. The RWA sector leads losses with a 2.99% drop, while the SocialFi sector rises against the trend by 0.58%. TON and CHZ increased by 0.48% and 1.93%, respectively, and select projects like Binance Life, MYX, and POL also saw gains despite the overall downturn.

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a widespread decline, with BTC dropping below $92,000, while the SocialFi sector is rising against the trend.

Geopolitics and macroeconomic data can still trigger market volatility, while the sustainability of ETF capital inflows needs further validation. For volatile small- and mid-cap assets, it is recommended to strictly control position sizes, set stop-loss and take-profit levels at key price points, monitor sectoral rotations and sentiment indicators in a timely fashion, and dynamically adjust long and short strategies.

BUTTCOIN

Wall Street Breakfast | April 2, 2026

BoK: Higher inflation path points to July hike – ING

US strikes on Iran heighten odds of military escalation

The Bank of Canada: The Iran war should not overshadow other economic risks.

Global markets are fretting about growth due to the war in Iran. A slowdown is something stocks can handle. However, the risk that the global economy tips the wrong way is also increasing.

Fed's Musalem: The current interest rate setting remains appropriate

BoE's Bailey: Markets getting ahead of themselves by pricing in rate hikes – Reuters

Exclusive: Bank of England's Bailey says investors should not count on UK rate hikes

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