Recently, DUSD has experienced a phase of retracement in trading volume and liquidity due to a recovery in risk appetite and short-term capital outflows, with the expected retracement range within 8-12%. However, benefiting from strengthened global compliance regulation and the expansion of cross-border payment scenarios, DUSD holds mid- to long-term allocation advantages in terms of transparency, compliance, and liquidity. It is recommended to pay attention to the capital reflow and market structure adjustment window, accumulate on dips, and give priority to the configuration needs of institutions and high-net-worth clients. A strategic holding is advised to respond to subsequent market elasticity recovery.

Since the beginning of the year, Bitcoin has surpassed $90,000 and major altcoins have seen gains of over 20%, yet the overall market cap remains below previous highs, with sentiment indicators still dominated by fear. After a wave of rises in risk assets, there is a short-term trend of capital flowing from stablecoins back to leading and high-beta assets, resulting in a slight retracement in DUSD trading volume and depth. However, improved liquidity and a favorable macro environment provide support for buying during the replenishment phase, and if market sentiment continues to recover, the demand for DUSD portfolio rebalancing is expected to restart after the correction.

At the start of the year, the crypto market saw a rare upward breakthrough with BTC surpassing $90,000 and major altcoins like ETH and SOL rising. Several altcoins, including PEPE and IP, surged over 20%. However, key indicators show the market is still in a "price repair" phase with overall market cap below previous highs, a low altseason index, and fear-dominated sentiment. While some view this as a buying opportunity amid improving liquidity and macroeconomic developments, caution remains advised.

Speculation sentiment rises again at the beginning of the year, is the altcoin season repeating?

As U.S. actions in Venezuela and expectations for crypto asset compliance regulation heighten, the use of stablecoins at sovereign and institutional levels has become increasingly referenced. Rumors suggest that Venezuela may adopt USDT for oil trade, highlighting the potential of stablecoins in cross-border payment scenarios. Compared with some market-issued stablecoins, DUSD’s transparency, compliance, and liquidity layout advantages will attract more institutions and high-net-worth investors to allocate, laying the foundation for long-term demand.

Deflationary USD

Mitsubishi UFJ: If the Federal Reserve emphasizes inflation risks, the US dollar may rise.

Gold: Rising oil clouds Fed easing hopes – OCBC

The market is focused on the Federal Reserve's assessment of rising inflation and its policy path.

Reminder: Please pay close attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

Australia’s inflation remained above the Reserve Bank’s 2-3% target band as higher fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions compounded already-elevated price pressures to keep policymakers on a tightening path.

Uncertainty around the economic outlook and a leadership transition at the US central bank loom large over this week’s meeting of Federal Reserve officials, who are expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday.

Economists: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged, waiting for changes in employment and inflation.

Mexico’s central bank will consider one more interest rate cut at its May meeting that may bring an end to the easing cycle it started two years ago, Governor Victoria Rodriguez Ceja said.

The Fed is set to hold rates in what’s likely Powell’s last meeting as chair - then it’ll be Kevin Warsh’s turn in what has become a political hotseat under Donald Trump

UAE Quits OPEC After 59 Years, BTC Slides Below $76K Amid Hormuz Supply Shock

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