Although EVERMOON is currently experiencing short-term bounce opportunities driven by marginal liquidity recovery, the trading volume and market depth have not seen substantive improvement. In the short term, attention can be paid to the upward testing within the 0.37-0.42 range, but given the persistent downturn in macro capital flows and user activity, there is insufficient long-term value support. The stratified structural liquidity further intensifies potential slippage risk. Short-term participants are advised to strictly control positions and take appropriate profits at higher levels, while medium- and long-term investors should remain on the sidelines and wait for external catalysts before making allocations.

At the beginning of the year, the marginal improvement in market liquidity led market participants to expect brief rebound opportunities in areas of supply-demand mismatch at the bottom. Although EVERMOON’s price lacked any significant breakout within its consolidation range, the entry of a small amount of funds increased trading activity and gradually stimulated short-term buying sentiment. While overall trading volume did not expand to historical highs, the acceleration of short-term capital flow created conditions for minor technical shakeouts.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

From the perspective of overall trading fees and volume metrics, the macro crypto market’s capital activity has not fundamentally improved, with active user numbers and fee revenue still at low levels. In the medium and long term, market liquidity growth lags behind the downward trend in volatility, and there is still substantial supply pressure, leading investors to remain cautious about the timing of the next bull cycle. This means that without new institutional incentives or a complete reversal in market sentiment, EVERMOON’s medium- to long-term upside foundation remains unstable.

The secondary market is showing increasingly pronounced stratification: high-frequency short-term contracts are absorbing most of the liquidity among a few assets, while long-term thematic markets concentrate on macro events. In the crypto sector, short-term products record daily trading volumes below the million-dollar level, a sharp contrast to the sports and political contract markets. Such structural low liquidity amplifies the price impact of large buy or sell orders, making smaller investors face higher slippage and portfolio risk.

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