The current daily chart structure of F shows a consolidation range between 0.0049 and 0.0055, with volume and price action indicating significant divergence between bulls and bears. Influenced by tightened macro liquidity and prevailing market caution, the short-term is expected to remain range-bound, lacking clear unilateral momentum. It is advised to buy near 0.0049–0.0050 with a stop loss below 0.0048, and partially reduce positions near 0.0054–0.0055. The mid-term direction depends on marginal changes in liquidity; a breakout above 0.0055 may target 0.0058–0.0060, while a breakdown below 0.0049 would warrant caution for further downside risk.

Since mid-March, F experienced a volume-driven rally, reaching a peak of 0.00728 on March 17, followed by a quick retreat and a sharp correction to the 0.0049 level by late March to early April. Currently, the daily timeframe has formed a horizontal range of 0.0049–0.0055. Recent trading volumes show divergence—volume failed to expand on rebounds, while heavy selling was accompanied by significant trading, indicating intensified bull-bear disagreement. The recent decline has sufficiently tested support near 0.0049, while 0.0054–0.0055 above serves as a short-term resistance cluster. Absent a breakout on expanded volume, range-bound movement is likely to persist in the near term.

At the macro level, energy consumption and policy uncertainty are restraining liquidity. Bitcoin remains in a narrow range, and market participants are clearly adopting a wait-and-see attitude. As a high-risk asset alternative, F is also under pressure, making it difficult to break out of its current consolidation in the short term. Funding conditions are tightening, investors are mostly sidelined, and short-term bulls and bears are evenly matched with no clear driver in sight. This makes sudden surges or deep reversals unlikely.

From a medium- to long-term perspective, if subsequent macro data indicate marginal improvements in liquidity or policy signals hint at easing, F may break out of its current narrow range to challenge resistance at 0.0055, then gradually test the 0.0058–0.0060 level. Conversely, should liquidity continue to tighten, a breach below 0.0049 could open the way for further downside towards 0.0047 or lower. In the short term, it is advised to buy near 0.0049–0.0050 with a stop loss set below 0.0048; if prices rebound into the 0.0054–0.0055 zone, partial profit-taking is suggested, followed by monitoring for further breakout signals.

KPMG: The Federal Reserve is expected to be forced to raise interest rates in the second half of the year.

Trump warns of more strikes after Iran bridge attack, Bitcoin retreats

Market Analysis: Significant Increase in Non-Farm Payrolls Eases Employment Market Concerns, Fed's Cautious Stance Expected to Continue

US Non-Farm Payrolls Data Exceeds Expectations Much More! Here Are the Details

Analysis: The non-farm payroll data still shows obvious fluctuations, and the threshold for the Federal Reserve to adjust its policy remains quite high.

Strategist: The latest non-farm payroll data presents a complex situation for the Federal Reserve.

Analyst: Strong NFP data weakens rate-cut bets; the Fed forecasts no rate cuts until June.

The U.S. added 178,000 jobs in March, exceeding the Wall Street Journal's forecast range.

The market seems to be interpreting the non-farm payrolls as a sign of a solid labor market, and the Federal Reserve will focus on reducing inflation.

The U.S. March Non-Farm Payrolls Report Quick Review.

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