Considering the overall macro market recovery and the dispersion of funds caused by a surge in new token issuances, LAUNCH is currently consolidating at a key support area, with no significant breakout in trading volume observed. In the short term, if the market's recovery momentum kicks in, focus on the resistance range of 0.065-0.072 USDT. If trading volume fails to increase significantly, be alert to the risk of a pullback to 0.054-0.057 USDT. It is recommended to deploy cautiously in batches at the support area, set strict stop-loss orders, closely monitor market sentiment and liquidity changes, adjust positions dynamically, prioritize risk control, and seek steady returns amid sector rotation and market volatility.

According to CryptoQuant analysts, there are signs of improvement in the overall crypto market at the beginning of the year; short-term sentiment has shifted from sustained gloom to tentative recovery. This trend still requires further data validation, but bullish momentum is gradually accumulating, providing short-term impetus for mid- and small-cap tokens including LAUNCH. At the same time, investor sentiment has shifted from cautious observation to tentative positioning; if market volume continues to grow, LAUNCH may experience a technical rebound.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Recently, multiple platforms have launched new token offerings and ecosystem incentives, including Perp DEX Trove's ICO, token launches by Based, Solana Mobile's SKR release schedule, and various growth milestones announced by Hyperliquid. The new token issuance wave has attracted a large number of participants and funds, which could exert short-term competitive pressure on LAUNCH as market capitalization flows between different projects, leading to capital dispersion and increased short-term volatility.

Perp DEX Trove announced the launch of its ICO from January 8 to January 11 (UTC), aiming to raise $2.5 million with a fully diluted valuation of $20 million. The token allocation will prioritize Trove users, and 100% of tokens will be unlocked at the Token Generation Event (TGE).

Perp DEX Trove announces ICO launch with a fundraising target of $2.5M.

Omnichannel trading platform Based announced via Twitter that it will launch its token, BASED, in the first quarter of 2026.

Based: Token to be launched in the first quarter of this year

Solana Mobile announced on its official X account that the SKR token will officially launch on January 21 (UTC time).

Solana Mobile: SKR Token to Officially Launch on January 21

Solana Mobile announced that its native SKR token will launch on January 21, 2026. The total supply is 10 billion tokens, allocated as 30% for airdrops, 25% for growth and partners, 10% for liquidity and listing, 10% for the community treasury, 15% for Solana Mobile, and 10% for Solana Labs. SKR will use a linear inflation model starting at 10% in year one, decreasing 25% annually to a stable 2%, incentivizing early participants to stake and secure the ecosystem.

Solana Mobile: SKR Token Will Launch on January 21

In 2025, Hyperliquid achieved significant growth with key milestones such as the launch of HyperEVM, open validator mechanism, native USDC integration, and HIP-3 introduction. The platform recorded a peak daily trading volume of $32B, open contract positions of $16B, TVL of $6B, daily protocol revenue of $20M, and over 1.4M users, all substantially up from 2024. Hyperliquid operates without external funding, with all fees owned by the community, aiming to build a fair, permissionless crypto financial system.

Hyperliquid Review 2025: Users exceed 1.4 million, TVL reaches $6 billion.

Despite a lack of explosive trading volume, LAUNCH's recent price has found solid support at an important previous area, maintaining a narrow range consolidation pattern. If accompanied by an increase in overall market volume subsequently, an upward breakout to the nearby resistance level is likely; conversely, if the broader market sentiment weakens, the price could retrace to lower support levels. Traders should closely monitor changes in trading volume and moving averages to capture potential trend continuations or reversal signals.

In the current environment, scaling into positions in batches near the support range and increasing holdings when appropriate may allow for participation in potential rebound opportunities. At the same time, due to the risk of capital dispersion from large-scale new token issuances, it is not advisable to take large positions at once. Setting strict stop-loss points and monitoring overall market sentiment changes is recommended. Before the medium-term value becomes fully clear, keeping positions flexible and incorporating risk exposure management will help achieve stable returns amid volatility.

Hyperlauncher

Crypto braces for volatility as Warsh hearing nears and rate cut odds slide

Economist: US March CPI monthly rate may surge 1%, Federal Reserve may find it difficult to cut interest rates this year.

Economists predict that the US CPI will increase by 1% month-over-month in March, making it difficult for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.

Slepne: The European Central Bank will discuss either raising interest rates or keeping them unchanged.

Economist: US March CPI monthly rate may surge 1%, the Fed may find it difficult to cut interest rates this year

Fed Rate Cut Bets Collapse as Jobs Data Shocks Markets; 10-year Treasury Yield Hits Critical Level

Trump: 178K new jobs and a 55% drop in trade deficit attributed to tariffs

"Federal Reserve Mouthpiece": Low Job Growth May Become the New Normal but Is Especially Vulnerable in the Context of War

"Federal Reserve Mouthpiece": Low Employment Growth May Become the New Normal but Especially Vulnerable in the Context of War

Next Week's Macro Outlook: The Iran War Will Continue to Dominate Market Sentiment, Fed Meeting Minutes Worth Watching

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