INF is currently in a key phase of strategic contest. In the short term, the increased expectation of public offering has boosted market sentiment toward optimism, driving stronger buying momentum, and prices may test upper resistance levels (watch for an effective breakout in the $1.30-1.45 range). While mechanism reforms have repaired some trust deficit, historical controversies and transparency issues remain, so emotional volatility risk persists and caution is needed regarding the gap between expectations and actual fundraising, which could trigger rapid shifts in liquidity. Suggested strategy: In the short term, follow volume breakout trends, and quickly take profit or stop losses upon invalidation; for the medium to long term, focus on team compliance and mechanism implementation, and consider increasing positions only after fundamental validation.

Recently, on-chain data and market sentiment have shown signs of marginal improvement, but lack sustained volume and clear breakout signals. From a technical perspective, due to insufficient available candlestick data, price remains in a consolidation range, with no obvious momentum from bulls or intensified pressure from bears, indicating ongoing stalemate between buyers and sellers near key levels. Although the market atmosphere is showing early signs of upward reversal, the rally has not yet formed solid support. It is suggested to wait and see whether effective breakouts or volume confirmation will occur.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

The predicted scale of funds for the public offering has significantly increased, shifting short-term sentiment to optimism. The probability of surpassing $2 million is approaching ninety-eight percent, and total trading volume keeps climbing, indicating that institutions and retail investors are increasing their expectations for issuance size. From a trading psychology perspective, when the market generally expects a high success rate, there is ‘buying on anticipation’ motivation that may quickly gather buyers and drive prices to test upward. In the long run, if there is a disparity between actual fundraising and expectations, capital sentiment may switch rapidly.

Polymarket market bets on Infinex's public offering reaching over $2 million have risen to a 98% probability. The chances of exceeding $3 million and $5 million are 93% and 78%, respectively. The total trading volume for this event has reached $3.25 million.

Polymarket market bets that the probability of Infinex's public offering total subscription exceeding $2M rises to 98%.

Polymarket data shows the market bets the probability of Infinex's public offering subscription exceeding $5 million is only 49%, and exceeding $10 million is 12%. The current trading volume on this prediction market is $425,000.

The probability of the total public subscription amount for Infinex on Polymarket exceeding 5M USD is only 49%.

To address low participation, the project team has made key rule changes: removing personal caps and introducing fair allocation models, aiming to reconstruct fairness in issuance and ease community disputes. However, past controversies regarding escrow and valuations have left lingering concerns at the emotional level. Additionally, early market prediction activity sparked suspicions of insider trading, and short-term scrutiny over transparency and compliance may persist. From a value perspective, this mechanism optimization helps repair the trust gap, laying a healthier foundation for future secondary market liquidity; nonetheless, the market needs time to validate these reforms, and investors’ focus on the project’s long-term fundamentals will increase.

INFERNO

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