Currently, LBLOCK is benefiting from the warming sentiment in the crypto market and rising capital attention, with short-term prospects for corrective volatility along with major assets. The options market shows increased bullish positioning, and short-term volatility has significantly risen. It is advised to focus on trading volume and changes in support/resistance within the 0.0020–0.0024 range. Looking at the mid-to-long term, the market is dominated by trend investing; institutional short-selling momentum is weakening, which favors price restructuring. However, due to macro and geopolitical uncertainties, position and stop-loss management are critical. Timely allocation is recommended to capture stage-based trend opportunities while guarding against correction risks.

Recently, multiple indicators in the crypto market have shown signs of improvement, with major asset prices steadily climbing and regaining key moving average levels. This trend is driving overall risk appetite higher, with market sentiment shifting from cautious to upbeat. As a small-cap token, LBLOCK is expected to draw capital attention and possibly witness corrective movements following broader market trends in such an environment.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

QCP's market analysis on January 5 highlights a strengthening crypto market in Asia, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surpassing $92,000 and $3,100 respectively, driven by US actions in Venezuela, year-end tax-loss trading, and rising crypto legislation expectations. Speculation about Venezuela holding significant "shadow Bitcoin reserves" and using USDT in oil trades could make it a major sovereign BTC holder. Options data show a bullish shift, with increased call options and straddle strategies indicating short covering and bets on upward volatility.

QCP: Venezuela Situation and Options Funding Resonance Strengthen Bullish Expectations in the Crypto Market

Despite heightened geopolitical tensions between the US and Venezuela reaching a peak early Saturday, Bitcoin's price remained resilient, stabilizing around $90,000 after briefly dipping below that level. Analyst Michaël van de Poppe noted Bitcoin's price staying above the 21-day moving average suggests potential continued gains in January. Jamie Cox from HARRIS FINANCIAL GROUP indicated the market's reaction to the Venezuela situation may be limited, with possible impacts from the upcoming OPEC meeting.

Analysis: Market reaction to the situation in Venezuela may be limited, Bitcoin price remains strong.

Recently, the options market has seen a significant rise in bullish sentiment, with increased long buying and straddle strategies, reflecting heightened volatility expectations from institutions and speculators. Amid short-term fluctuations in major assets, this structural positioning often fuels overall rallies or intensifies corrections. LBLOCK may experience accelerated volatility opportunities in the near term; traders should monitor volume dynamics and the reaction to key support and resistance levels.

Seasoned analysts repeatedly emphasize that the current environment is more suited to trend investing and value recovery rather than pure speculation. As short-selling pressures gradually recede, market liquidity is expected to concentrate on the long side, creating a short squeeze effect. However, geopolitical and macro liquidity factors may still trigger periodic volatility, so investors should combine project fundamentals and capital flows, set reasonable position sizes and stop-losses, and guard against risks of chasing prices during market corrections.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua reflects on a decade in crypto, emphasizing the importance of improving investment and trading understanding, focusing on trend investing, and ignoring short-term fluctuations. He notes that bears are making a last effort, betting on factors like the four-year cycle and liquidity decline, but these bets are failing and will fuel a short squeeze during the market rise. He urges focus on professional research and continuous learning.

Yi Lihua: Bears are making their final efforts, which will become fuel for the upward movement.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated that respected investors like Buffett profit from value and trends, not speculation. He affirmed that 2024 is set to be a bull market due to macro and industry factors beyond individual control. Short sellers are making a final effort but face losses—exiting early means small losses, exiting late means large losses. After a month of market volatility, optimism will prevail while pessimists lag behind.

Yi Lihua: Trend is better than speculation, the bull market is set, bears face "small losses early, big losses late."

Lucky Block

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Trump: US-Iran talks progress as Iran suspends nuclear program

Trump warns of bombing if no Iran deal by April 21 ceasefire expiration

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

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