RIVER has recently experienced an accelerated price decline, breaking through multiple technical supports. A sharp reduction in TVL and the upcoming large-scale token unlock event have formed a double negative impact, intensifying the short-term supply and demand imbalance and allowing bears to take the lead. Key attention should be paid to the $7.00-$7.15 support zone: if this is breached, the $6 level may be tested, and downside risks remain. If trading volume increases and prices stabilize above this area, there is potential for a rebound to the $8.5-$9.5 range. In terms of strategy, it is suggested to gradually buy on dips in batches with strict position and stop-loss control for short-term operations. For the mid-term, increasing exposure is recommended only after a TVL rebound and improved on-chain activity, to seize upside opportunities once a bottom is established.

Starting from the March 22nd high of $29.35, RIVER entered a sustained correction cycle, dropping over 70% in 17 days. On April 10th, the price plunged in a single day to $8.39 with a corresponding spike in volume, confirming the downward breakout below the $10 round-number level. Although there was a brief stabilization and rebound near the $8 mark, with a retracement high at $9.34, the bullish momentum was weak. The next day, the price fell again to $7.43 and found support around $7.15, closing at $7.79 on the 15th. Overall, the price has broken through multiple short- and mid-term moving average clusters, with bears having a clear advantage. The $7 region has become the key short-term support.

On-chain data platforms report that RIVER's TVL has plunged from $123 million to $91 million, a week-on-week drop of over 26%. The contraction in TVL signals reduced capital activity and system stability, exacerbating selling pressure. During this period of concentrated selling, the price has repeatedly lost key support levels in the short term, with market sentiment shifting to caution. Although trading volume is lower than during the initial decline, selling momentum remains. The supply-demand imbalance is intensifying bearish sentiment, so investors should remain alert to further downside risk in the short term.

According to on-chain monitoring, approximately 560,000 RIVER tokens will be unlocked on April 22, which, at current prices, is worth over $5 million. The newly released tokens may be digested or sold by the market in the short term, putting additional supply-side pressure on the limited current buying interest. If there is no effective price rebound before the unlock, the expectation of impending unlocks and the logic of pre-emptive selling could magnify downward pressure. The short-term outlook remains bearish.

According to ChainCatcher and Web3 asset data platform RootData, River (RIVER) will unlock approximately 560K tokens valued at about 5.07M USD at 00:00 on April 22, Beijing time.

RootData: RIVER will unlock tokens worth approximately $5.07M in one week.

In the short term, RIVER faces dual negative interference from declining TVL and upcoming unlock-related supply, and its price is likely to continue probing the bottom around $7, testing the $6.97-$7.15 support zone. If this range fails, losses could extend towards $6; however, if it holds with rising trading volume, a gradual rebound to the $8.5–$9.5 zone is possible. For the mid-to-long term, focus should be on TVL recovery and the rollout of core applications; if a bottom stabilizes and funds re-enter the ecosystem, a new rebound could be triggered by slowing supply and recovering demand. In the short term, consider staggered testing entries at key levels, focusing on price trends and volume changes before and after the unlock event. For the mid-term, watch for stabilization signals in TVL and on-chain activity indicators to time entries.

River

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

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The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

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Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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RIVER price today is 7.65, with a live price change of -2.35 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade RIVER on Bybit-eu.

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