In the current market environment, although SOFT benefits from improving sentiment in the crypto market, its price structure remains spot-driven with weakened leverage influence. Short-term volatility is limited, and upward momentum is insufficient. Technically, a temporary balance exists between bulls and bears, but no significant breakout with volume has occurred. Caution is needed, as any weakening of overall sentiment may quickly increase downward pressure. In terms of liquidity, trading depth is weak, with higher short-term transaction costs and slippage risks, and large single transactions may cause sharp price swings. Investors are advised to pay close attention to liquidity distribution and transaction density, prioritize phased entry during periods of ample liquidity, strategically allocate medium- and long-term positions, strictly control short-term costs and liquidity risks, and avoid blindly chasing rallies. Focus on the 1.08–1.18 price range; if volume breakouts continue to fail, maintain a cautious and observant stance.

Recently, the crypto market has shown early signs of sentiment recovery, as evidenced by Bitcoin transitioning from the deleveraging phase to moderate expansion. The spot-driven bullish structure is healthier and reduces risks of mass liquidation caused by excessive leverage. In this macro environment, SOFT’s price remains in a narrow range without any major volume breakout. Technically, both trading volume and open interest are rising slightly in sync, with short-term moving averages converging, indicating a temporary balance between bullish and bearish forces. In the short term, prices may follow market rhythm with minor fluctuations, but with limited leverage momentum, explosive price action may be lacking; caution is required against potential downside pressure if sentiment weakens again.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

According to Polymarket data, short-term crypto market liquidity is generally low, with a high proportion of contracts seeing zero trades within 24 hours and a strong concentration of transactions. In this liquidity environment, SOFT’s short-term contracts are similarly affected—large-scale entries may result in significant slippage and increased transaction costs. Dispersed liquidity means that any sudden moves in a single contract can trigger instant and sharp price swings. Short-term participants should pay close attention to trading depth and order book conditions. It is recommended that investors choose periods of relatively ample liquidity for entry and exit, and combine multi-cycle strategies to allocate medium- and long-term positions in order to smooth out risks brought on by short-term cost fluctuations.

PANews analyzed 295,000 historical markets on Polymarket, revealing that 63.16% of short-term markets (under 1 day) had zero transactions in 24 hours. Short-term crypto markets suffer from low liquidity, with sports markets averaging $1.32 million in volume, 30 times higher than crypto's $44,000. A small number of top contracts (505) account for 47% of total volume. Long-term markets (>30 days) have 45 times more liquidity, led by US politics. Geopolitical markets are the fastest-growing segment. Polymarket is polarizing into "high-frequency sports betting" and "macro political hedging," with liquidity concentrated in few top narratives.

PANews data: 63% of the short-term market on Polymarket had 0 transactions in the last 24 hours, with 505 top contracts accounting for 47% of the trading volume.

Soft DAO

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice this year to support the labor market.

Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

Fed's Daly: The Federal Reserve should focus on the employment rate rather than employment data.

Market Edges Higher; Strong U.S. Jobs Data Complicates Rate Outlook

KPMG: The Federal Reserve is expected to be forced to raise interest rates in the second half of the year.

Trump warns of more strikes after Iran bridge attack, Bitcoin retreats

Market Analysis: Significant Increase in Non-Farm Payrolls Eases Employment Market Concerns, Fed's Cautious Stance Expected to Continue

US Non-Farm Payrolls Data Exceeds Expectations Much More! Here Are the Details

Analysis: The non-farm payroll data still shows obvious fluctuations, and the threshold for the Federal Reserve to adjust its policy remains quite high.

Strategist: The latest non-farm payroll data presents a complex situation for the Federal Reserve.

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Soft DAO Price: SOFT Live Price Today | SOFT Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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