Combining current market performance with structural analysis, SYNC is set to benefit in the short term from a rebound in risk appetite, with key levels marked by increased trading volume and psychological threshold breakthroughs. However, caution is needed regarding retracement risks driven by sentiment volatility. In the long term, the existing prediction market model faces bottlenecks in liquidity and capital efficiency. If SYNC accelerates the introduction of perpetual contracts and optimizes liquidity management, it will have breakout opportunities. Project teams are advised to focus on deepening the order book liquidity pool and dynamic risk management mechanisms, strengthen user incentives, attract more high-frequency market makers, and optimize the spread structure. Central judgment: Maintain a neutral-to-bullish stance, monitor the $4.20-$4.60 support range and protocol upgrade developments. Strategically, consider accumulation on pullbacks and dynamically adjust positions.

CryptoQuant analysis indicates early signs of stabilization in the crypto market, with investors’ risk appetite recovering. This phase of improving short-term sentiment may spur additional buying interest in SYNC. However, one should remain wary of sentiment-driven pullbacks, and monitor sustained trading volume and the support at key psychological levels to confirm the continuation of bullish momentum.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

The prevailing binary options-style prediction market model exposes issues of insufficient liquidity and low capital efficiency, calling for a restructuring via perpetual contracts. This poses a challenge for projects where liquidity and protocol design are core strengths. If the SYNC ecosystem can incorporate perpetual contracts and optimize capital utilization, it is well positioned to gain a competitive edge during the next wave of structural reform.

The article critically examines the current state of prediction markets, arguing they have fallen into a "local optimum" trap similar to past tech failures like BlackBerry and Yahoo. While binary options models have gained short-term traction, they suffer from liquidity shortages and low capital efficiency. The author advocates evolving prediction markets toward a perpetual contract model to achieve a truly universal, liquid market, emphasizing the need for radical redesign and humility to overcome structural limitations and realize their full potential.

Falling into a local optimum, market predictions should not stop here.

Prediction markets relying on order book models require proactive market-making and risk exposure management to handle spread volatility triggered by asymmetrical and sudden events. For SYNC, which depends on AMM or hybrid order book mechanisms, deep liquidity pools and dynamic risk management strategies are crucial for long-term profitability. The project team should ramp up incentives and improve dynamic balancing algorithms.

The article discusses the challenges of market making in prediction markets, highlighting that less than 10% survive until year-end. Unlike AMM-based markets, prediction markets rely on order book models with higher operational complexity, inventory risk, and volatile, jumpy price movements driven by discrete events. Successful market making requires advanced strategies and risk management, often beyond ordinary users' capabilities. Leading platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi invest heavily in liquidity subsidies, creating strong barriers for new entrants and reinforcing dominant players.

Prediction markets are tough: less than 10% may actually survive until the end of the year.

Mainstream brands accepting crypto payments, large on-chain transactions, and macro asset reserve announcements continue to flow in, signaling ongoing improvements in market fundamentals. This wave of mainstream adoption helps bolster investor confidence and increase on-chain activity. SYNC is poised to leverage overall market momentum to attract more users and capital inflows, thus multiplying its actual use cases.

In the past 24 hours, the crypto market experienced diverse dynamics ranging from macroeconomic discussions to ecosystem developments. Key topics included warnings about on-chain price manipulation, AI-driven prediction market strategies, and geopolitical risks affecting supply. Notably, Venezuela reportedly holds over 600,000 BTC "shadow reserves" worth $60 billion, potentially impacting market supply. Walmart announced Bitcoin payment acceptance, signaling mainstream crypto adoption. Solana's on-chain spot volume hit $1.6 trillion, and Ethereum's stablecoin settlement reached a record $8 trillion in Q4 2025. Perp DEX markets are recovering, while concerns about physical security risks for holders persist.

Venezuela's 60 billion BTC "shadow reserves," Walmart supports Bitcoin payments, what is the overseas crypto community discussing today?

The short-term contracts market sees most trading concentrated in a few high-frequency assets, while other varieties suffer from thin liquidity. This situation amplifies spread and depth pressures for smaller tokens. For SYNC to break through the liquidity ceiling, it needs to attract a broader range of market makers and arbitrageurs, and build a more stable spread structure in core trading pairs.

Sync Network

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