THINK market short-term confidence is marginally improving, but trading volume has not expanded significantly. The sustainability of the rebound is questionable, and caution is advised against buying at high levels with risk of retracement. In the mid-to-long term, macro and industry positives provide stronger value logic support. It is recommended to focus on projects with active communities and notable research & development progress, employing a trend-following, phased allocation strategy to optimize entry cost. In short-term trading, risk control should be prioritized. Key support levels are in the 1.32–1.40 range; if volume increases, positions can be moderately raised, otherwise, wait for confirmation signals.

Market analysis data shows that overall crypto assets have recently exhibited initial signs of improvement, with bullish sentiment rising but not yet breaking out effectively. Investors should pay attention to the correlation between trading volume and volatility—if volume does not expand concurrently, short-term rebounds may be unsustainable. Although risk asset preferences have picked up, the market is still in a validation phase, and early entry could face retracement risks.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Current mainstream opinions emphasize a trend investing framework—buying in bullish markets and decisively exiting in bearish markets—while also considering intrinsic project value. Both macro and industry environments are favorable, providing support for holding assets in the mid-to-long term. In this context, investors can focus on projects with healthy community ecosystems and ongoing R&D progress, using a trend-following, phased entry strategy to reduce timing difficulty and smooth out costs.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

THINK Protocol

Fed Rate Cut Bets Collapse as Jobs Data Shocks Markets; 10-year Treasury Yield Hits Critical Level

Trump: 178K new jobs and a 55% drop in trade deficit attributed to tariffs

"Federal Reserve Mouthpiece": Low Job Growth May Become the New Normal but Is Especially Vulnerable in the Context of War

"Federal Reserve Mouthpiece": Low Employment Growth May Become the New Normal but Especially Vulnerable in the Context of War

Next Week's Macro Outlook: The Iran War Will Continue to Dominate Market Sentiment, Fed Meeting Minutes Worth Watching

Next Week's Macro Outlook: Sixth Week of the War, Trump's Playbook is About to Collapse, CPI Will Surge, Gold Prices May Put on a Big Show

Market Holds Steady; US Jobs Data Exceeds Expectations

“Fed Whisperer”: Low employment growth may become the new normal, but it is especially vulnerable amid the backdrop of war.

Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

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