With the Catchain 2.0 upgrade and significant increases in capital inflow, TON's medium- and long-term fundamentals have been notably strengthened. However, in the short term, high leverage and profit-taking are contributing to increased volatility risks. Currently, $1.30 serves as a key technical support level. If TON can maintain above this level and break through the $1.50 resistance on volume, an upward trajectory may open up, potentially targeting the $1.65 range. If support fails, the next pullback target is $1.25. Strategy advice: Dynamically track capital flows, accumulate on dips, and add positions on breakouts. Be cautious of volatility-induced pullbacks from potential high-level consolidation.

The Catchain 2.0 upgrade was activated on April 9-10, shortening block time to about 400 milliseconds, enabling near-instant transactions and boosting throughput tenfold. In addition, the annual inflation rate was raised from 0.6% to 3.6% to incentivize validators, strengthening both network security and activity. Meanwhile, Switzerland's Crypto Valley saw blockchain financing grow by 37% in 2025, with the TON network alone attracting $400 million, demonstrating strong capital recognition of TON’s ecosystem prospects. These measures have consolidated Toncoin’s long-term value foundation from both technological and financial perspectives.

Toncoin (TON) fell about 3.36% after a 12% rally in the past week, following the activation of the Catchain 2.0 upgrade on April 9-10. This upgrade, announced by Telegram founder Pavel Durov, improved network speed sixfold and increased throughput tenfold, enabling near-instant transactions. Despite the recent price drop from resistance at $1.43 to around $1.30, Toncoin remains in a consolidation phase with bullish momentum supported by technical indicators and positive ecosystem developments.

Toncoin (TON) Drops by 3% After Post-Upgrade Rally Pause

The Swiss Crypto Valley saw a 37% increase in blockchain funding in 2025, reaching $728 million and representing 47% of European blockchain venture capital. The TON network led with $400 million in financing. Global blockchain funding rose 30% to $15.5 billion, despite a 32% drop in transaction volume, indicating capital concentration in large projects. Active blockchain companies in Crypto Valley grew to 1,766, while unicorns decreased from 17 to 10.

Swiss Crypto Valley Sees 37% Growth in Blockchain Funding by 2025, TON Network Transactions Dominate

The Open Network (TON) has launched Catchain 2.0, reducing block times to 400 milliseconds and enabling payment settlements in about one second and near real-time trade settlements. This upgrade enhances throughput and responsiveness for transactions and decentralized apps, supported by a six-fold increase in annual inflation to 3.6% to incentivize validators. Integrated with Telegram, TON aims to merge messaging with on-chain finance, expanding crypto functionality within the messaging app.

TON’s Catchain 2.0 Delivers Sub-Second Finality, Shortening Latency

Recently, trading volume has surged to 2.84 billion dollars—a 148% increase compared to the annual average—with buy-side orders clearly prevailing. Over the past three months, the top 100 whale wallets have accumulated over 189,700 coins, while major asset management institutions have expanded positions with up to 7x leverage, reflecting confidence in Toncoin’s outlook. However, intense short-term profit-taking and high-leverage positions around key levels can also trigger heightened volatility. Overall, bulls are supported by both volume and capital, but caution is needed against sharp short-term pullbacks.

Toncoin’s trading volume surged 148% to $284 million, marking the highest level this year and signaling strong buying interest. The number of holders surpassed 149 million, indicating broader market participation and increased stability. Market turnover also rose sharply, reflecting heightened activity and a buyer-leaning rotation. While early bullish strength is evident, sustained momentum and participation are crucial for Toncoin to break out beyond the $1.65-$1.70 resistance zone.

Toncoin’s volume explodes 148% – Is TON finally ready to break out?

Toncoin has shown a 5% recovery amid a defensive market, driven by significant whale accumulation hitting a 3-month high, with the top 100 whales increasing holdings by 2.5%. Despite losing two-thirds of its market cap since August 2025, this accumulation signals a potential relief rally. Toncoin’s integration with Telegram and growing utility support a bullish outlook, with a key resistance at $1.30; a breakout could target $1.35–$1.40 and beyond.

Toncoin Price Eyes $2 as Santiment Data Shows Whales Accumulation

Trader Loracle has increased their 7x leveraged CL short position to $19.76 million and added a 5x leveraged TON long position. They also hold long positions in BTC, NEAR, LIT, TAO, PAXG, and ENA, with a total value exceeding $47.17 million.

Trader Loracle increased short positions on CL to $19.76 million, with total long positions exceeding $47.17 million.

On the daily chart, April 11 saw a gap-up rally, with prices peaking at $1.518 before pulling back. In the following days, prices dipped from around $1.45 to approximately $1.39, indicating a basing consolidation. Currently, $1.30 is a critical lower support. The $1.50 and $1.65–$1.70 bands form short- and medium-term resistance zones. A breakout above these levels with strong volume might extend the previous rally, while losing support could see a retreat to $1.25 or even lower.

Tokamak Network

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Tokamak Network Price: TON Live Price Today | TON Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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TON price today is 0.50, with a live price change of 2.15 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade TON on Bybit-eu.

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