Under constrained macro liquidity and prevailing risk aversion, VELO is displaying weakness in both volume and price in the short term, consolidating within a range ($0.00358–$0.00386). Bullish momentum is insufficient; a breakout depends on significant improvement in market liquidity and strong performance from Bitcoin. It is advised to closely monitor the effectiveness of the support level. If the lower boundary of the range is breached, low-level consolidation may persist. For medium to long-term investment logic, attention should be given to the recovery of demand and progress in ecosystem development. Maintain a neutral to cautious stance, monitor changes in liquidity and market risk appetite, and plan positions selectively.

Against the backdrop of restricted macro liquidity, intertwined with energy prices and geopolitical risks, Bitcoin is oscillating within a narrow range of $67,000–$72,000. This cautious atmosphere has weakened short-term momentum for chasing risk assets, leading to synchronous adjustments from VELO. Investor sentiment is dominated by holding coins and observing in the short term.

From the daily chart perspective, after VELO surged rapidly on March 17, it reached a high of $0.00517 on March 18, followed by a sharp decline and retreat to around $0.00388 on March 19. Currently, the price fluctuates back and forth within the $0.00358–$0.00386 range, and trading volume has significantly shrunk compared to the previous high, with bullish momentum slowing down. In the short term, support is concentrated at $0.00358, with strong resistance at $0.00386. If the lower boundary of the range holds, a breakout may be sought as liquidity improves; otherwise, the sideways consolidation pattern may persist.

In the medium to long term, VELO’s performance still depends on the recovery of overall market demand and improvement in macro liquidity. If Bitcoin breaks out of its current range and gains new trend momentum, the market may reignite risk preference towards high-beta assets, offering VELO a chance to rebound. However, if macro data and policy signals continue to tighten and market liquidity remains constrained, short-term fluctuations may persist. The project’s fundamentals require more actual applications and ecosystem expansion to support valuation.

Velodrome Finance

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