Affected by the decline in global risk appetite, XO has recently experienced a significant retracement. The short-term support range is located at $0.00035–$0.00038, with resistance at $0.00085–$0.00090. From a technical perspective, bullish investors are showing tentative buying interest at lower levels. If macro risk aversion eases and substantial trading volume resumes, conditions for a secondary test of resistance would be present. In the medium term, the digital asset market remains in the early phase of a bear market, and XO is expected to have a phase rebound in 6–9 months after one or two rounds of bottom formation. It is recommended to monitor the effectiveness of short-term support and maintain a defensive stance, while gradually positioning for a rebound in the mid-to-long term and strictly controlling retracement risks.

Since February, due to uncertainty over the US Federal Reserve Chair nomination and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, overall market risk appetite has notably declined. The strengthening US dollar has driven inflows into safe-haven assets, with selling pressure spreading to digital assets. XO saw a continuous decline after January 15, dropping from $0.00088 to around $0.00045 over nine trading days—a fall of more than 48%—reflecting short-term selling pressure dominated by sentiment.

In early February, global assets sharply declined due to concerns over Kevin Warsh's potential Fed chairmanship and escalating geopolitical risks, including tensions with Iran. The US dollar strengthened, causing precious metals and commodities to plunge, with gold and silver dropping significantly. Bitcoin fell below $75,000, nearing key support levels, while analysts warned of further declines but also potential short-term rebounds. Ethereum and altcoins also faced steep losses amid market uncertainty.

Trading Moment: Precious metals continue to plummet, BTC bulls hope to fill the $84,000 CME gap.

On the daily chart, XO has formed a short-term bottom support range at $0.00035–$0.00038, with multiple tests failing to break this zone effectively. The upper resistance is concentrated around $0.00085–$0.00090, which corresponds to the highs on January 14 and January 30. Trading volume has expanded during the decline, and repeated long lower shadows indicate that bulls have shown tentative buying interest at the support area. Should macro risk sentiment ease and trading volumes return to several billions, the price is expected to have an opportunity for a secondary test of resistance.

Considering that Bitcoin has fallen by over 35% since October last year, the digital asset market as a whole is in the central downward phase of a bear market. Based on major asset cycle estimation, about 25% of this bear market has been completed, with one or two more rounds of bottoming expected. Together with market volume contraction and a significant drop in fear indicators, XO is expected to see a phase rebound window in the next 6 to 9 months. However, caution is warranted in the short term against intensified retracements and continued volatility.

Xociety

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