YUSD benefits from improved market liquidity in the short term, with enhanced dollar-pegged stability, and is expected to fluctuate within the 1.00±0.001 range, showing clear short-term buying support. However, in the medium to long term, declining risk appetite and weakening demand for yield-bearing products may put pressure on market share. If macroeconomic uncertainty rises, funds may flow back to mainstream stablecoins. It is recommended to hold YUSD in the short term while closely monitoring fund flows and macro events, and to remain cautious about potential medium- to long-term structural downside risk.

In terms of market capital flow, the USDC/USDT premium index turning positive indicates that short-term selling pressure has eased, and market liquidity is rebounding. Considering YUSD's role in the multi-stablecoin ecosystem, improved liquidity helps maintain its dollar peg stability and reduces net redemption risk. Currently, candlestick patterns are relatively steady, intraday volatility is narrowing, and trading volume is rebounding, indicating that short-term long positions are actively seeking stablecoins for hedging, which supports YUSD's short-term performance.

Although liquidity is recovering in the short term, market sentiment remains cautious in the medium and long term and selling pressure may persist. In an increasingly competitive environment, investors show less willingness to allocate to yield products, which may lead to decreased demand for YUSD-related yield strategies. Moreover, if macro risk events resurface, capital may flow back to the most liquid mainstream stablecoins, and YUSD's market share and usage could be squeezed.

YieldFi yToken

Fed: Extended pause before late 2026 cut – UOB

2024–2026: Asset repricing amid persistently high interest rates

Mitsubishi UFJ: Stalemate in US-Iran negotiations intensifies inflation concerns, causing gold prices to drop.

Koehler: Unless the situation significantly improves, interest rate hikes are inevitable.

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates twice this year as the Iran war drives inflation higher, a Bloomberg survey shows.

Private-credit firms report decline in returns amid Fed rate cuts

Goldman Sachs: Fed expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in both 2026 and 2027

Trump calls Iran’s peace proposal totally unacceptable, oil prices rise

Japanese authorities intervene, reducing bearish yen positions to $4.9B

CITIC Securities: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points once in the second half of the year.

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