Currently, LUNA is affected by macro liquidity tightening, with its price remaining in the $0.054–$0.060 range in the short term. Trading volume is shrinking and the trend is unclear, lacking capital and market confidence. If geopolitical risks recur, it may test support at $0.053. In the medium to long term, if LUNA consistently advances in protocol governance optimization, strengthens compliance and cross-chain capabilities, and aligns with institutional and regulatory demands for blockchain infrastructure, it has the potential to break out of speculative constraints and achieve revaluation. Operationally, it is recommended to remain cautious and observe the validity of the range support in the short term; in the medium and long term, consider accumulating at low levels, focusing on compliance and infrastructure upgrades within the LUNA ecosystem.

Recently, macro-level liquidity has continued to tighten, as energy prices, monetary policy, and multiple geopolitical factors constrain the crypto market's liquidity. Bitcoin fluctuates between $67,000 and $72,000 without a clear direction, causing LUNA to remain in a low-volatility range. Since falling from its early March high of $0.0655, the price has hovered between $0.062 and $0.060, with trading volume significantly contracting. This indicates bulls are cautious while bears lack momentum to add positions, making a unilateral trend unlikely in the short term.

Bitcoin remains in a narrow trading range amid constrained macro liquidity and unclear price direction. Multiple pressures from energy prices, monetary policy, and geopolitical risks compress market liquidity, leading to a cautious stance. Technical support lies between $67,000-$69,000, with resistance near $72,000. Without increased demand, the market is expected to stay range-bound, awaiting a breakout influenced by macroeconomic data, policy signals, and geopolitical developments.

Analysis: Bitcoin is stuck in a narrow range, macro liquidity is constrained, and the market is waiting for a directional breakout.

As expectations for a ceasefire in the Middle East grow, global risk assets experienced a technical rebound—Bitcoin approached $72,000, oil prices fell significantly, and stock index futures generally rose. However, LUNA did not rise in tandem; its rebound on March 25 reached only $0.0609 before quickly retreating to around $0.055 at the end of the month. This suggests LUNA's sensitivity to improved market sentiment is limited and it remains burdened by previous downside momentum. In the short term, although risk aversion has eased, LUNA still lacks sufficient capital inflow and is pressured at the $0.054–$0.056 support range. If macro risks return, the $0.053 lower support may be retested.

Expectations of a US-Iran ceasefire have triggered a market rebound, with BTC nearing $72,000 and ETH approaching $2,200 resistance levels. Global risk assets rallied, oil prices dropped over 6% amid peace hopes, and US stock futures rose. Bitcoin showed resilience with a strong rebound near $71,000, while Ethereum paused before $2,200. Market sentiment eased, but analysts remain divided on whether the rally will sustain or face a downturn.

Trading moment: Expectations of a ceasefire between the US and Iran lead to a market rebound, with BTC and ETH approaching resistance levels of 72K and 2200, respectively.

Recently, the industry’s division of labor around crypto custody, settlement, and layer-2 networks has become increasingly clear, with multiple major blockchains strengthening their infrastructure and compliance frameworks. Large financial institutions are exploring the integration of crypto assets into traditional operations, while regulators impose stricter review standards for stablecoins and DeFi projects. Against this backdrop, network security and compliance are becoming key to industry long-term value. If LUNA can continuously optimize its governance mechanism at the protocol level, enhance cross-chain liquidity, and secure more institutional use cases in compliance-friendly environments, it is expected to stand out in the medium to long term, breaking free from its current purely speculative nature.

PANews weekly review covers key topics including Trump's hopes to end the Iran war quickly amid global energy market impacts, Russia's move to regulate cryptocurrencies as state-selected assets, and Fannie Mae accepting Bitcoin for mortgages. It highlights AI industry shifts with OpenAI shutting down Sora, debates on AI power centralization, and major blockchain infrastructure upgrades in Wall Street. The report also discusses crypto market challenges like Circle's stock plunge, Binance's market maker crackdown, and community backlash over Backpack's token launch.

A Week in Review | Trump hopes to end the war quickly, but Backpack's token launch has left the community disheartened.

Odaily's Weekly Editor's Picks (0321-0327) highlights key insights from the past week in crypto and macroeconomics. Topics include the impact of US-Israel-Iran tensions on oil prices and global supply, the unsustainable US economic model, Balancer's shift from token inflation to revenue-driven growth, the innovative ERC-8183 protocol for decentralized AI agent economies, challenges in AI security, Polymarket's liquidity incentives, and the regulatory effects of the CLARITY Act on DeFi and stablecoins.

Weekly Editor's Picks (03/21-03/27)

Luna by Virtuals

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Bitunix Analyst: Employment Cooling Combined with Further Energy Contraction, War Spillover to Tech Infrastructure, Market Enters "Risk Pricing Distortion" Phase

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The White House is considering an extreme scenario where oil prices exceed $150 and may use emergency powers to stabilize fuel costs.

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If the US Troops Enter Iran, What Happens to Bitcoin? Lessons From Past Wars

Goldman Sachs: The possibility of the Fed raising interest rates this year remains low

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