PEPEX benefits from the mild expansion of the Bitcoin market and the restoration of risk appetite. Its medium- to long-term allocation value is increasing, so a gradual position can be considered in the key support range (1.80–2.00 USDT). However, short-term liquidity is dispersed and trading activity is limited, so volatility is expected to remain constrained. It is recommended to pay close attention to liquidity changes, strictly control position sizes, and wait for mainstream funds to return and drive a new market rally.

According to CryptoQuant data, the Bitcoin market has shifted from last year's deleveraging phase to a period of mild expansion. The Z-Score indicator confirms a recovery in optimistic sentiment, mainly driven by spot trading. This balanced upward structure reduces the risk of mass liquidations, providing solid support for risk assets overall and indirectly benefiting PEPEX’s medium- to long-term performance.

Analysts have observed that the crypto market is gradually improving, investor panic has visibly subsided, and some trend signals have already emerged. This stage presents an opportunity for medium- to long-term positioning. As an emerging token, PEPEX is expected to benefit from the renewed demand for risk asset allocation, enhancing its mid-term price performance.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Polymarket research points out that short-term crypto market liquidity is highly fragmented, with most contracts seeing zero trades within 24 hours and overall trading volumes much lower than other market categories. Liquidity is concentrated in a few mainstream contracts, which may result in low trading activity for PEPEX in the short term and limit its short-term volatility.

PANews analyzed 295,000 historical markets on Polymarket, revealing that 63.16% of short-term markets (under 1 day) had zero transactions in 24 hours. Short-term crypto markets suffer from low liquidity, with sports markets averaging $1.32 million in volume, 30 times higher than crypto's $44,000. A small number of top contracts (505) account for 47% of total volume. Long-term markets (>30 days) have 45 times more liquidity, led by US politics. Geopolitical markets are the fastest-growing segment. Polymarket is polarizing into "high-frequency sports betting" and "macro political hedging," with liquidity concentrated in few top narratives.

PANews data: 63% of the short-term market on Polymarket had 0 transactions in the last 24 hours, with 505 top contracts accounting for 47% of the trading volume.

PEPEX

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