Although the current XTM sector shows signs of recovery, improvement in sentiment still requires confirmation by synchronized increases in trading volume and capital inflows. Short-term market liquidity remains highly polarized, with leading tokens showing strong capital attraction. If XTM fails to become a mainstream hotspot, its price range is expected to remain wide and volatile (reference range: $0.18—$0.25), with increased risk of expanded bid-ask spreads. We recommend caution and avoiding aggressive buying in the short term; in the medium- to long-term, focus on application adoption and community engagement—only continuous improvement in fundamentals can restore liquidity and drive prices to break previous highs.

Recent analyses suggest that the crypto market is showing signs of initial improvement, with investor sentiment rising from persistent lows. However, there is still insufficient data to confirm the sustainability of this trend. In the short term, if trading volume and capital inflows do not expand simultaneously, the market may continue to fluctuate. Investors should remain on the sidelines and avoid aggressive buying during the early stages of any rebound. Only when trading activity increases notably and prices break through key resistance levels can a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment be confirmed.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Currently, short-term market liquidity is concentrated in a few high-profile themes, with overall trading activity relatively low. Given that XTM is still in a growth phase, it faces fierce capital competition in the short-term market, with liquidity distribution likely to tilt further towards leading contracts. If XTM cannot promptly become a hotspot, its short-term price fluctuations may intensify, and bid-ask spreads may widen. In the medium to long term, only if the project continues to launch attractive applications and gains community attention can it hope to break the current liquidity constraints.

Torum

Market Holds Steady; US Jobs Data Exceeds Expectations

Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Huatai Securities: March Nonfarm Payroll Data Reflects Resilience of the US Job Market, Inflation Becomes the Core Variable in Fed Policy

Crypto traders fade 2026 Fed cuts as U.S. unemployment dips, but risk assets hold bid

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice this year to support the labor market.

CICC: Investment demand and prices for gold may both have room for upward correction.

Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

Fed's Daly: The Federal Reserve should focus on the employment rate rather than employment data.

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