WIF has formed a staged bottom around the $0.1622 area, rebounding with increased volume and briefly breaking above $0.19. The short-term trend is restricted by macro risk-off sentiment and risk preference of funds. If it can consistently hold above $0.19, the rebound may continue; conversely, if it falls below $0.18, be vigilant against a second bottom test. Due to inflationary pressure and geopolitical risks, long-term institutional fund inflows are limited. Valuation recovery relies on improvements in macro expectations and project-driven innovation. Currently, it's recommended to dynamically monitor trading changes in the $0.18-$0.19 range, maintain flexible strategies, and focus on preventing downside risks.

Looking at the daily chart, WIF hit a staged low of $0.1622 in mid-March, followed by a significant increase in trading volume. The price then rebounded for several consecutive days, breaking through the $0.18 resistance and reaching as high as $0.1938. Recently, the price has fluctuated around $0.19, with short-term moving averages forming a bullish crossover upward trend and trading volume expanding during the rally, indicating bulls have acquired positions at low levels. If the price stays firmly above $0.19 with increased volume, a short-term rebound may continue; if it falls below $0.18, beware of the risk of a second bottom.

Recently, rising global credit risk, increased energy costs, and intensifying tensions in the Middle East have increased market uncertainty, prompting investors to prefer high-liquidity assets. As a small-cap coin, WIF comes under significant pressure when market risk appetite contracts, and is easily affected by capital flow moving toward Bitcoin and other risk-averse assets. Although there is a technical rebound after the current pullback, if macro risk-off sentiment remains high, the bullish momentum may be limited, increasing the likelihood of greater volatility.

The high inflation environment raises institutional expectations for returns, and the rise in energy prices combined with deteriorating credit conditions increases leverage costs, making large institutions more inclined to allocate to stable assets. For mid-to-small cap tokens like WIF, long-term fund inflows may be suppressed, which is unfavorable for depth liquidity and valuation recovery. However, if macro risk expectations gradually recede and market liquidity improves, mid-to-long-term valuation recovery opportunities may emerge, driven by technological innovation or real-world applications.

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