XFUND's short-term performance is driven by the return of liquidity, making a technical rebound possible in the key support range ($1.85-$2.05). However, only a sustained increase in trading volume can confirm an effective reversal. There is no clear improvement in the macro cycle; if the price fails to break the medium- and long-term downward resistance ($2.35), secondary pullback risks remain. It is recommended to flexibly grasp opportunities from phased fluctuations, monitor innovations in prediction markets and on-chain stocks, and be cautious of arbitrage limitations and amplified volatility caused by liquidity concentration to ensure a balanced risk-reward profile.

At the beginning of this month, market liquidity improved significantly, and bullish forces gathered near key support levels, showing signs of a bottom reversal in the price structure. In the short term, with easier funding conditions and increased trading activity, XFUND is expected to see a technical rebound. However, attention should be paid to whether trading volumes can continue to expand; otherwise, the rebound may merely be an inertia-driven move, with potential to revert to a consolidation phase later.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Despite short-term momentum for a rebound, the overall macroeconomic cycle remains relatively pessimistic, and market sentiment is in a cautious, defensive mode. Trend-following investment principles suggest it is difficult to time perfect market tops and bottoms; it is better to follow the trend. Before a bullish breakout truly occurs, if XFUND cannot effectively rise above the long-term downtrend line, there is a risk of a secondary pullback.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Industry attention is shifting toward innovative sectors such as prediction markets and on-chain stocks, presenting cross-market arbitrage opportunities. If XFUND expands its efforts in this space, it may achieve a revaluation driven by macro events. However, caution is warranted as overall liquidity is highly concentrated in a few leading contracts; an uneven liquidity distribution may limit arbitrage opportunities and lead to greater price volatility.

FalconX co-founder Joshua Lim stated that in 2026, the company will focus on prediction markets and on-chain stocks. Cross-market opportunities between crypto-related stocks and fundamental commodities are expected to be key growth areas.

FalconX Co-founder: The core focus in 2026 is prediction markets and on-chain stocks.

xFUND

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Economists predict that the US CPI will increase by 1% month-over-month in March, making it difficult for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.

Slepne: The European Central Bank will discuss either raising interest rates or keeping them unchanged.

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XFUND price today is 71.54, with a live price change of -1.80 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade XFUND on Bybit-eu.

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