Although the DCT market is showing signs of recovery, the divergence between bullish and bearish sentiment persists, and neither technical nor value indicators have formed strong confirmation yet. In the short term, it is recommended to closely track the coordination of trading volume and price; do not aggressively increase positions before a valid breakout above previous highs. From a mid- to long-term perspective, only when capital inflow and market sentiment resonate and are validated by multiple indicators will an upward trend have sustainability. At this stage, it is advisable to maintain cautious observation, gradually accumulate positions at lower levels, strictly control position sizes, and patiently wait for a structural breakout. Avoid chasing price rises blindly.

Recently, there are early signs of improvement in market sentiment, with both buyers and sellers showing increased optimism, but a clear momentum has yet to emerge. Bulls are entering tentatively, helping prices to stabilize, while bears remain alert near key resistance levels. Overall, the atmosphere leans toward cautious optimism; in the short term, it's necessary to watch for sustained positive sentiment in tandem with trading volume to confirm an initial reversal signal.

Since complete K-line details are currently unavailable, it is difficult to accurately determine the positioning of key moving averages, volume trends, and support/resistance levels. If subsequent K-lines show consecutive volume increases and break through previous highs, a short-term bottom can be confirmed; otherwise, one should remain cautious regarding the risk of prices falling back during range-bound oscillation. The technical side requires more accompanying data to verify the actual rotation of bullish and bearish forces.

Although the market is showing initial signs of recovery, the upward trend is not yet fully confirmed from a long-term value perspective. Investors should dynamically evaluate capital flows and the persistence of market sentiment in combination with subsequent macro and on-chain data. Only when multiple trend indicators align and trading volume expands steadily will there be a higher probability for mid- to long-term entry.

Short-term investors are advised to monitor the price's behavior at key support levels and watch for volume spikes after stabilization, considering entry only after resistance levels are broken. Long-term investors can gradually accumulate small positions at relatively low levels while maintaining capital management and risk controls. Under current conditions, patiently waiting for the trend to establish is more prudent than rushing to chase price increases.

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The market is focused on the Federal Reserve's assessment of rising inflation and its policy path.

Reminder: Please pay close attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

Australia’s inflation remained above the Reserve Bank’s 2-3% target band as higher fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions compounded already-elevated price pressures to keep policymakers on a tightening path.

Uncertainty around the economic outlook and a leadership transition at the US central bank loom large over this week’s meeting of Federal Reserve officials, who are expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday.

Economists: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged, waiting for changes in employment and inflation.

Mexico’s central bank will consider one more interest rate cut at its May meeting that may bring an end to the easing cycle it started two years ago, Governor Victoria Rodriguez Ceja said.

The Fed is set to hold rates in what’s likely Powell’s last meeting as chair - then it’ll be Kevin Warsh’s turn in what has become a political hotseat under Donald Trump

UAE Quits OPEC After 59 Years, BTC Slides Below $76K Amid Hormuz Supply Shock

Iran launches airstrikes on US bases in Iraq, Kuwait, Qatar

Ukrainian drone attack ignites Tuapse oil refinery, escalating energy strikes

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