Recently, HYPER has experienced significantly intensified market volatility due to macro-level geopolitical conflicts and institutional gaming. After the price quickly surged to $0.19 and then pulled back, buying interest around the $0.12 region has strengthened, making it a key support level. There is a coexistence of high-frequency capital flows and two-way sentiment dynamics, so it is important to monitor volume changes and whether $0.12 can hold in the short term. Caution is advised: if volume picks up and $0.12 stabilizes effectively, a secondary rebound is possible; otherwise, the risk of structural volatility increases and further corrections should be guarded against.

Recent fluctuations surrounding the Middle East situation have led to increased market caution. The ceasefire agreement in April boosted short-term optimism, but ongoing bottlenecks in Gulf transport have sustained logistics constraints, increasing global asset pricing uncertainty. Meanwhile, multiple central banks held policy meetings this week, generally keeping rates stable but with heightened focus on geopolitical risks. The combined impact of geopolitics and monetary policy has notably raised crypto asset volatility, injecting more uncertainty into the high-volatility sectors that HYPER occupies.

In April 2026, the global crypto market experienced structural divergence and phased recovery amid three major factors. Following the temporary US-Iran ceasefire agreement effective April 9, significant disagreements emerged—while the US claimed full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, Iran limited daily passage to about 10 ships (less than 8% of pre-war levels). Negotiations broke down on April 12, causing market volatility.

Crypto Market Macro Report: Ceasefire Negotiations, Fed Leadership Change, and Accelerated Institutionalization

Danske Bank analyst Asger Wilhelm Dalsjo highlights that with the Middle East conflict entering its ninth week, central banks will assess its current and future economic impacts. This week, the Bank of Japan, Bank of Canada, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, and European Central Bank will hold policy meetings. While all are expected to keep interest rates unchanged, their evaluations of the conflict's economic effects will be closely watched, making monetary policy decisions the main market driver.

Analyst: Interest rate decision will be the main market driver, focus on the impact of Middle East conflict.

Bitcoin saw a technical rebound followed by a spike in short interest rates to multi-year highs. Simultaneously, the cost discount for short-term holders narrowed sharply, suggesting earlier selling pressure has been somewhat absorbed. Four consecutive weeks of strong ETF net inflows have lifted market risk appetite, with the Fear & Greed Index rebounding from fear to a neutral range. Robust buying and sizable short borrowing have created potential short squeeze risks. This dual tug-of-war in sentiment and funding often unleashes high-frequency volatility, which typically ripples down the chain to high-Beta altcoins like HYPER, amplifying its pattern of alternating sell and buy pressure in the short term.

Despite recent Bitcoin price gains, investors are increasingly betting on a price decline. Data from CEX.IO shows short sellers paying rates around 11%, peaking at 19%, the highest since early 2023. Concurrently, Bitcoin is undergoing one of its largest accumulation phases. The simultaneous rise in strong buying and short positions suggests potential significant price volatility, with the possibility of a short squeeze or a reverse shock. Bitcoin currently down 1.6% at $75,754.

Analysis: Bitcoin short positions surge, market prepares for significant volatility.

ChainCatcher reports that Bitcoin short-term holders' discount has narrowed from -21.6% to -5.7%, with the STH-SOPR 7-day average rising above 1, indicating short-term sellers are no longer clearly at a loss. However, the current price remains below the $83,000 cost basis, suggesting the market has not yet entered a true risk-on phase.

Data: Analysis: Short-term Bitcoin holders' discount narrows, market warms up but risk appetite has not yet started.

Bitcoin rose 2% to $7,910 and Ethereum 3% to $2,388 amid easing geopolitical tensions, boosting Asian markets with Japan's Nikkei 225 and South Korea's Kospi hitting record highs. The US spot Bitcoin ETF saw $823.7 million net inflows for the fourth consecutive week. The crypto fear and greed index improved from 29 (fear) to 47 (neutral). Analyst Dominick John attributes gains to ETF inflows, technical breakthroughs, and reduced risk aversion.

Analyst: Both the crypto market and Asian stock markets rise amid easing geopolitical tensions.

Candlestick chart data shows that HYPER gapped explosively to a $0.19 high on April 25, with trading volume surging over 15 times sequentially— a classic sentiment-driven breakout. This was immediately followed by a deep retracement; the price found repeated support and consolidated with decreasing volume around $0.12, indicating some willingness from market participants to bottom-fish after speculative profit-taking. Currently, the daily Bollinger Bands’ opening is narrowing, and there is a bearish divergence between the MACD’s fast and slow lines, signaling ongoing risks of further pullbacks in the short term. If $0.12 holds with accompanying volume recovery, a rebound after a secondary test of the lows is possible; otherwise, structural volatility may persist.

The Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424) highlights key insights from fast-moving news, covering macroeconomic trends like the looming physical oil supply shortage despite the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, investment and crypto market analyses including user geography and token strategies, and policy updates such as the uncertain passage of the CLARITY Act. It also addresses DeFi challenges, security incidents, and notable industry developments, offering a curated filter to retain valuable perspectives amid information overload.

Weekly Editor's Picks (0418-0424)

The top crypto gainers in the last 24 hours include Algorand ($ALGO), DeXe ($DEXE), and Cosmos ($ATOM), with Algorand leading with a 5.38% increase to $0.1138 and a volume of $62.48M. DeXe follows with a 5.19% rise to $13.53 and $28.44M volume, while Cosmos rose 3.76% to $2.04 with $62.51M volume. Other notable gainers are Venice Token, Immutable, Chiliz, Toncoin, Bittensor, Mantle, and Hyperliquid, all showing positive growth and significant trading volumes.

Top Crypto Gainers of Today: $ALGO, $DEXE, and $ATOM Outshine

Hyperfy

Iran seeks response to US naval blockade disrupting oil exports: WSJ

CNN report: Iranian strikes damage US bases, escalating tensions

Fed presidents oppose rate cuts, signaling hawkish stance for 2026

Jim Cramer warns of economic decline amid rising US inflation

Fed Pumps $8.26B Into Markets Overnight, Is Something Bigger Unfolding?

Federal Reserve's Logan should not imply easing policy guidance.

The Federal Reserve's Kashkari and Harker stated that the conflict has changed the interest rate outlook, and maintaining an accommodative stance is no longer appropriate.

Global news you need to know before the US stock market opens on Friday.

Fed's Hammack: Uncertainty around economy, policy path has risen

Two Federal Reserve officials said they dissented over this week’s policy statement because it was no longer appropriate to signal the Fed’s next move was still likely to be an interest-rate cut.

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Hyperfy Kaina: HYPER Šiandienos kaina realiuoju laiku | HYPER Rinkos kapitalizacija &amp; Diagramų analizė | Bybit-eu

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