Currently, IUSD benefits from the overall bullish trend and liquidity rebound in the crypto market, showing short-term momentum for capital inflows and speculative activity. It is recommended to secure advantageous positions to capture stage-based gains. In the medium to long term, the spot-led, de-leveraged environment reduces systemic risk, and IUSD is expected to continuously gain upward momentum from liquidity spillovers. However, it is crucial to closely monitor signals of market sentiment reversal and key support ranges (quantitatively referencing the recent volatility lower bound of 0.98–1.00); if the broader market weakens or liquidity contracts, positions must be adjusted flexibly, with priority given to controlling drawdowns.

Liquid Capital’s founder put forward the core idea of 'buy in bull markets, sell in bear markets,' emphasizing the importance of going with the trend. For IUSD, this concept suggests that if the overall crypto market is on an upswing, both speculative and hedging funds are likely to flow in, forming short-term support; if market sentiment cools, IUSD, as a secondary asset, is also unlikely to remain unaffected and faces pressure from emotion-driven sell-offs. In summary, based on the psychological logic of trend investing, IUSD has a relative advantage in bullish markets, but if macro conditions weaken, positions should be quickly adjusted.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

CryptoQuant data shows that the Bitcoin market has left the de-leveraging phase and entered a mild expansion led by spot, with low leverage exposure and low liquidation risk. This means overall market liquidity is more stable, reducing systemic panic’s transmission risk to IUSD. In this structure, IUSD can enjoy the spillover effects of overall liquidity and remain relatively active in a steady bull market. However, caution is needed: if divergence converges rapidly and prices lack strength, a new round of corrections may affect all assets. IUSD should pay attention to the dynamics of key support levels to guard against indirect valuation adjustment risk.

InfiniFi USD

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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