The current SDEX market is in the early stages of recovery, but a strong bullish trend has not yet been fully established, and short-term sentiment may remain volatile. Capital continues to flow into the DeFi and Layer2 sectors, benefiting SDEX as market rotation occurs and providing medium-term upward momentum. However, in an environment of increased market volatility and temporarily declining DEX trading volumes, liquidity fragmentation and TVL fluctuations need to be closely monitored. It is recommended that investors deploy in batches within the 0.87-0.94 range, strictly control risk exposure, pay attention to sector strengthening and liquidity sustainability, and consider increasing positions only after the trend becomes clearer.

Recent on-chain and derivatives data show preliminary signs of market sentiment recovery, and investors are cautiously optimistic about a bullish trend. However, since the trend is still in its embryonic stage and data has not yet clearly established a directional move, there is a risk of sentiment swings in the short term. For SDEX, while it may attract portfolio interest in the early stages of market improvement, caution is warranted against the risk of a pullback if overall momentum fails to sustain.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

The current crypto market is experiencing broad-based gains, with capital flowing into various sectors, especially notable in DeFi and Layer2. As a token within the decentralized exchange ecosystem, SDEX is highly correlated with the performance rotation of the entire DeFi sector. When sector indices move upward, SDEX is likely to attract incremental capital and exhibit a medium-term bullish trend. However, the stability of the broader market and the impact of liquidity fragmentation on SDEX’s ability to outperform its peers should be closely monitored.

The cryptocurrency market shows a broad upward trend, with the PayFi sector leading gains at 8.07% in 24 hours. Key projects like XRP, Stellar, and Monero saw notable increases. Bitcoin and Ethereum remained stable. Other sectors such as DePIN, Layer2, RWA, AI, Layer1, DeFi, CeFi, and Meme also experienced gains, while only the GameFi sector saw a slight decline of 0.03%. Sector indices for PayFi, DePIN, and Layer2 rose significantly.

The cryptocurrency sector broadly rose, with the PayFi sector leading gains by over 8%, while only the GameFi sector saw a slight decline.

Recent data show that overall trading volumes on Perp DEXs were subdued over the weekend, with declining activity on some platforms. However, leading platforms saw growing open interest and positions, indicating continuing demand for derivatives. For SDEX, which is positioned as a native decentralized exchange token, short-term liquidity fragmentation from trading volume swings could be a concern. It is important to closely monitor TVL and derivatives activity on its platform to evaluate short-term capital support potential.

SMARDEX

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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