Recently, TIA has shown high volatility and surged with increased volume. After breaking through the key resistance at $0.3882, there is a notable short-term crowding effect, with both trading volume and open interest soaring simultaneously, revealing high-leverage speculative characteristics. Technically, RSI is approaching overbought levels. While there is momentum for a short-term upward push, if support at $0.328 is broken, the risk of correction increases. In the long term, TIA is anchored in the AI-driven data availability sector, offering solid value through the integration of DeFi and infrastructure. Macro liquidity is affected by computing power and sectoral capital redistribution, so caution is needed regarding sentiment correction and structural shifts. The suggested short-term strategy is to dynamically set take-profit and stop-loss within the $0.328–$0.414 range, balancing risk control and sector prosperity in allocation, while paying attention to changes in volume and fundamentals.

Between April 15 and 16, TIA's price soared from $0.3311 to $0.4108, a single-day increase of nearly 24%. Trading volume jumped from about 2.59 million to 11.55 million, showing active participation from both sides of the market. This rapid surge made TIA one of the top gainers, with continued activity in open interest and trading pushing the price to a high of $0.4144 after opening. Short-term crowding effects are significant, with sentiment shifting rapidly from cold to heated.

According to CoinMarketCap data reported by ChainCatcher, the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market value showed notable changes today. The top five gainers were RaveDAO (RAVE) up 39.53% at $17.06, Siren (SIREN) up 37.75% at $1.11, MemeCore (M) up 27.84% at $3.68, Celestia (TIA) up 25.37% at $0.3997, and edgeX (EDGE) up 16.31% at $1.2. The top five losers were JUST (JST) down 15.44% at $0.0597, DeXe (DEXE) down 8.6% at $11.16, Venice Token (VVV) down 4.67% at $8.48, Dash (DASH) down 4.19% at $36.52, and Zcash (ZEC) down 3.96% at $337.2.

Data: Price changes of the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization today

After breaking through the key resistance at $0.3882, a retracement expectation emerged. RSI is rising but nearing the overbought threshold, indicating short-term bullish momentum persists, though the risk of exhaustion is increasing. Rising open interest and expanding turnover suggest a higher proportion of leveraged and speculative funds, so caution is needed regarding profit-taking at high levels. If the pullback does not lose support at $0.328, a retest of recent highs is possible; otherwise, it may return to range-bound volatility.

The industry's demand for decentralized data availability continues to grow. The deployment of AI-driven on-chain asset management tools and quantum-resistant technologies strengthens the long-term positioning of infrastructure projects. As a foundational network focused on data availability, TIA holds a first-mover advantage in the integration of DeFi and AI, likely meeting downstream application and security upgrade needs, providing ongoing value support.

The report provides a comprehensive overview of the crypto market after five and a half months of bear conditions, covering key developments in DeFAI tools driven by AI agents for on-chain asset management, and an analysis of ongoing critical projects in the post-quantum cryptography (PQC) sector. It highlights major players, investment trends, technological advancements, and the integration of AI and blockchain in DeFi, as well as the progress of PQC initiatives aimed at enhancing security against future quantum threats.

Research Morning Report | Five and a Half Months of Bear Market: A Health Check Report on the Crypto Market / DeFAI Tool Summary: How to Use AI Agents to Drive On-Chain Asset Management / Post-Quantum Cryptography Track Analysis: An Overview of Key Ongoing Projects

Within the quarter, computing power has rapidly shifted towards AI applications, causing a surprising decline in Bitcoin network hash rate and dramatic strategic divergence among mining companies. Although directly related to TIA only marginally, industry capital allocation may shift from mining to blockchain infrastructure. Investors should pay attention to changes in liquidity distribution caused by macro computing power and capital rotations, and remain alert to possible sentiment corrections following a cooling of market heat.

In early April 2026, the entire industry’s computing power shifted rapidly towards AI, causing a rare 4% decline in Bitcoin's total network computing power in Q1 2026. Amid this backdrop, listed mining companies showed significant strategic divergence: MARA aggressively restructured to transition into AI data centers, while Riot and Cango faced severe financial losses and strategic contraction.

Daily Observation of Crypto Concept Stocks: The Interplay of Hashrate Loss and AI Transformation, Leading Mining Giants' "Bleeding" and Restructuring in Q1

Tiamonds [OLD]

UBS: Still expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points later this year.

China expected to keep benchmark lending rates steady after strong GDP data

The European Central Bank will raise interest rates in June as the Iran war drives inflation higher this year, a Bloomberg survey showed.

Important news from last night and this morning (April 16 - April 17).

Bank of Japan Governor: We need to simultaneously address rising energy prices and economic downturn risks; policy-making is very difficult at this stage.

BOJ chief avoids hints of April rate hike, shattering hawkish market bets

Celestia: THIS ONE factor could derail TIA’s rally toward $0.50

ECB policymakers play down April rate hike chances

Declining energy prices have moved the euro-zone economy back toward the European Central Bank’s base case and may mean interest-rate increases aren’t needed, according to Governing Council member Primoz Dolenc.

Fed’s John Williams Signals Support for Holding Rates Steady Ahead of FOMC Meeting

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