WALTER has recently exhibited a bottom rebound signal in the short term, driven by recovering liquidity and a revival in on-chain activity. Key support level stability and increased trading volume provide some technical evidence for the rebound. It is recommended to watch whether the recent significant resistance zone (such as the 0.85–0.90 range) can be effectively broken through, to judge the sustainability of the rebound. However, the medium- to long-term macro environment remains conservative, with mainstream trading indicators consolidating at low levels, and no clear signals of a trending bull market. Overall risk premium has yet to be fully released. From an operational perspective, it is advisable to flexibly adjust positions and leverage, gradually deploy, take profit in stages, avoid chasing price highs, and focus on building positions at valid support levels after pullbacks as well as controlling risk next to previous high resistance.

Recent liquidity recovery in the market has provided considerable short-term support, and a slight upturn in trading fees and on-chain activity suggests capital is gradually returning. Stable buy-side activity near multiple key support levels, accompanied by minor increases in trading volume and price fluctuation, demonstrates technical bottom rebound characteristics. Investors may monitor the intraday reaction to important resistance levels to judge whether the current rebound is strong enough to continue into mid-term.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

Although there are rebound opportunities in the short term, the long-term macro environment has yet to fundamentally improve. The market remains generally subdued, with mainstream indicators consolidating at low levels, and no confirmation of a large-scale bull market signal. Trend investing philosophy emphasizes going long in bull markets and short in bear markets, but currently the market is in a stalemate oscillation phase, with risk premium still not fully released. Investors must maintain flexible management of positions and leverage, and avoid excessive pursuit of highs.

In a more volatile environment, sticking to clear buy and sell rules is essential. The trading philosophy of buying in trends and selling at trend endings can guide decision-making: When price pulls back to valid support and receives volume confirmation, incremental entry is possible; upon reaching previous highs or during periods of excessive optimism, phased take profit or reduction of positions is recommended. This strategy helps to smooth the profit and loss curve and maintain both capital safety and psychological stability in ranging markets.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Walter

Hassett says Powell’s reappointment could delay Fed rate cuts, with crypto watching closely

U.S. PCE Inflation Rises to 3-Year High, Bitcoin Slides

US Treasury yields spike to highest levels in a year, adding a new problem for Bitcoin liquidity.

European Central Bank policymakers are likely to raise interest rates at their next meeting in June unless there are positive developments on energy prices and ending the Iran war.

The European Central Bank's inclination to raise interest rates has strengthened, with Lagarde emphasizing increased risks.

European Central Bank officials stated that if energy prices do not ease, interest rates will be raised in June.

Hassett: It's time for Powell to leave the Federal Reserve.

Here’s why the crypto market is falling today

Lagarde speech: Interest rates best tool we can use

The Fed’s PCE Data Used to Measure Inflation Has Been Released! Here’s Bitcoin’s (BTC) Initial Reaction!

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