SOL has recently retraced to test the key $80 support level. On-chain activity and capital flows have yet to show a significant recovery, and ETF net inflows are relatively weak compared to mainstream assets. In the short term, the price may remain range-bound with risks of further downside. Institutional holdings and real-world use cases indicate medium-to-long-term confidence in the network. It is advisable to monitor if the $80 level holds; if breached, be alert for a further drop to the $70-74 range. Additionally, closely track changes in capital structure and policies regarding quantum security. Positioning strategies should be aligned with technical confirmation and the pace of macro-ecosystem developments.

Since peaking near $97 in mid-March, SOL’s price has continued to decline, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. Daily charts show that from April 1 to April 2, closing prices briefly dipped below $80.75, touching a low of $76.71 before finding support near $80 and showing signs of a rebound. At the same time, network fees dropped by 42% week-over-week, and DEX trading volume hit its lowest level since September 2024, reflecting weak on-chain activity and noticeably weighing on short-term prices. However, the $80 area has been repeatedly defended, highlighting its significance as key support—implying likely short-term range-bound trading.

Solana's native token SOL fell about 11% after hitting $93 last Wednesday, repeatedly testing the $80 support level amid weaker performance than the overall crypto market. Solana's network fees have declined for two consecutive months, dropping 42% from $30 million in January to $18.5 million in March, driven by shrinking DEX trading volume, which hit a low of $55.5 billion—the lowest since September 2024. Solana's total value locked (TVL) stands at $6.3 billion, significantly behind Ethereum's $54.1 billion. Despite this, Solana's network fees remain 80% higher than Ethereum's due to Ethereum's Layer2 Rollup and data Blob mechanisms.

Solana DEX trading volume drops to a phase low, SOL loses the key risk level of $80.

Solana's decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes have sharply declined to $55.5 billion, the lowest since September 2024, causing a 42% drop in network fees and signaling reduced user engagement. Meanwhile, Ethereum's DEX market share rose from 33% to 42% between January and March, driven by Layer 2 solutions that enhance scalability and attract users. This shift reflects changing trader preferences and evolving market dynamics, with Ethereum gaining strength as Solana faces challenges in sustaining momentum.

Solana DEX Volumes Crash As Ethereum Gains Ground

Recently, Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have seen renewed net inflows, boosting overall market sentiment. In contrast, SOL-related ETF flows have been relatively weak, with some periods even seeing modest net outflows. On a quarterly basis, SOL ETFs did record positive net inflows but still lag significantly behind multi-hundred-million-dollar inflows for Bitcoin and Ethereum. This preference for large-cap assets has dampened short-term sentiment for SOL, and absent substantial structural shifts in ETF flows, SOL prices could face additional downward pressure.

Bitcoin ETFs saw a $69.44 million inflow, led by Ark & 21Shares’ ARKB and Fidelity’s FBTC, signaling a modest rebound after recent outflows. Ether ETFs ended an eight-day outflow streak with a $4.96 million inflow, driven by Fidelity’s FETH and Blackrock’s ETHB, despite continued outflows from ETHA. Meanwhile, Solana and $XRP ETFs faced further declines. The market shows early signs of selective investor confidence, favoring larger assets like bitcoin and ether.

Bitcoin ETFs Rebound With $69 Million Inflow as Ether Ends Losing Streak

US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $1.32 billion in inflows in March 2026, marking their first monthly gain of the year, but Q1 ended with roughly $500 million in net outflows due to larger redemptions in January and February. Despite a 22% Bitcoin price drop and persistent market fear, March inflows reflected resilience amid geopolitical tensions. Ether ETFs posted $46 million in March outflows and $769 million quarterly losses, while XRP and Solana ETFs ended Q1 with positive net flows.

Bitcoin ETFs posted $1.3B in inflows in March, marking the first monthly gain of 2026.

On-chain monitoring indicates that several institutions continue to allocate SOL assets via centralized exchanges and custody solutions. For example, Kraken transferred over 74,000 SOL to Fireblocks Custody, reflecting either accumulation or risk management by certain institutions. Additionally, a quant trading firm holds a SOL position valued at about $30 million, which is considerable in size. These moves suggest institutional confidence in Solana throughout the price swings, though concentrated liquidity could create staged price pressure.

According to ChainCatcher and Arkham data, at 14:17, 74,100 SOL tokens worth approximately $6.23 million were transferred from Kraken to Fireblocks Custody.

Data: 74.1K SOL transferred out from Kraken, valued at approximately $6.23 million.

Alameda Research has unstaked $3.56 million worth of Ethereum, according to Arkham monitoring. Three weeks ago, the firm allocated $17 million in SOL tokens. Currently, Alameda holds $300 million in SOL, $35 million in Bitcoin, and $20 million in USDT.

Data: Alameda Research unstaked $3.56 million ETH, still holding $300 million SOL

The Solana network is showing strong momentum in the stablecoin sector, with $650 billion in monthly trading volume in February, leading among major public chains. Meanwhile, Japanese SBI’s subsidiary announced plans to prioritize the Solana network for institutional stablecoin payments, supporting assets such as USDC and USDT. This move is expected to further drive Solana’s penetration in cross-border settlements and institutional payment scenarios, providing strong medium-to-long-term ecosystem value support.

Solana stablecoin transaction volume reached $650 billion in February 2026, contributing to a near $2 trillion total monthly stablecoin volume across networks. Solana also demonstrated the fastest growth among major blockchain networks during this period.

Solana Stablecoin Volume Hits $650B as Monthly Total Nears $2T

Japanese banking giant SBI Holdings' subsidiary B2C2 will primarily use the Solana network for institutional stablecoin payments, supporting Solana-based stablecoins like USDC, USDT, and others. B2C2 CEO Thomas Restout highlighted Solana's speed, reliability, and scalability as key advantages. Despite trailing Ethereum and Tron in stablecoin market cap, Solana's adoption is growing, with major firms like Visa and Mastercard integrating it for payments.

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Latest research highlights that Solana’s cryptographic defenses against quantum computing threats are weaker compared to other major public chains, showing a relatively high risk of public key exposure. Although quantum threats remain a long-term concern, as quantum computing capabilities advance, the Solana ecosystem needs to proactively plan for post-quantum cryptographic upgrades to avoid sudden trust and price shocks in the future.

Cardano (ADA) has been ranked second among blockchains for quantum readiness in a Google Quantum AI paper, based on preparedness to upgrade to post-quantum cryptography. Algorand leads the ranking, having tested quantum-resistant transactions and supporting key rotation. Cardano’s eUTXO model hides public keys until spending, offering protection. Other blockchains like Ethereum and Solana have greater exposure to quantum threats. The research anticipates future quantum risks, with many blockchains planning upgrades.

🔥 Cardano Named Second-Most Quantum-Ready Blockchain by Google

Wormhole Bridged Wrapped SOL (Sui)

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SOL price today is 80.86, with a live price change of 1.13 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade SOL on Bybit-eu.

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