BUTTER currently benefits from the recovery in risk appetite in the crypto market and the rebound in macro momentum. Driven by spot demand, it has short-term bullish opportunities, and the price is expected to potentially test key resistance zones (refer to 7.50-8.20) as volatility continues to unfold. Bullish sentiment in the options market is increasing, but caution is advised regarding the risk of sentiment reversal within the derivatives volatility window. Given the limited compliance of the platform and still constrained market transparency, it is recommended to actively participate in short-term trading swings, but strengthen on-chain data verification and risk hedging, and beware of liquidity withdrawal and unexpected regulatory disturbances causing pullbacks.

Recently, Asian markets have been active, with both Bitcoin and Ethereum breaking through important psychological thresholds, significantly lifting overall risk appetite for crypto assets. Industry observers have noticed that since the year-end deleveraging phase, the market has entered a mild expansion cycle, with capital flows returning to spot assets and position structures trending healthier. This macro momentum is expected to drive a resonance among small- and mid-cap tokens, providing apparent short-term bullish impetus for BUTTER.

QCP's market analysis on January 5 highlights a strengthening crypto market in Asia, with Bitcoin and Ethereum surpassing $92,000 and $3,100 respectively, driven by US actions in Venezuela, year-end tax-loss trading, and rising crypto legislation expectations. Speculation about Venezuela holding significant "shadow Bitcoin reserves" and using USDT in oil trades could make it a major sovereign BTC holder. Options data show a bullish shift, with increased call options and straddle strategies indicating short covering and bets on upward volatility.

QCP: Venezuela Situation and Options Funding Resonance Strengthen Bullish Expectations in the Crypto Market

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

The structure of options market transactions has turned noticeably bullish, with both call option demand and straddle strategy demand rising in sync, indicating investors expect future upward volatility. At the same time, negative divergence has not appeared to pressure prices, showing that the current rally is mainly driven by spot demand rather than excessive leverage, thereby reducing the risk of sudden blow-ups. For BUTTER, if volatility persists, its derivatives sector may benefit accordingly, though short-term pullbacks from sudden sentiment reversals should be watched for.

Controversy over recent platform insider trading has been refuted by technical analysis evidence, reminding the market of the risk of misuse in time-series and correlation analysis. This demonstrates that the regulatory and compliance environment remains a key factor influencing investor confidence. As a small- to mid-cap token, BUTTER's market liquidity and transparency are relatively limited, so investors should pay attention to the authenticity of information and on-chain data verification when participating, in order to avoid irrational volatility triggered by emotional rumors.

Bubblemaps analysis challenges claims of insider trading on Polymarket, highlighting flaws in linking a Polymarket insider's receipt of about 250 SOL from Coinbase to a prior similar deposit with a 99% correlation. They point out issues like large time gaps, ignoring other assets, and multiple matching cases within the same day. Deposits could stem from various sources or older transactions. They warn that improper use of time analysis can lead to incorrect conclusions.

Bubblemaps: Some analyses targeting Polymarket insiders in the market are flawed.

Butter

Fed rate cut chance hits zero, threatening stagflation where Bitcoin thrives as a hedge against long term inflation

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April has dropped to 93.8%.

Bank of America: Maintains a bearish outlook on the dollar in the medium term.

FED Member Christopher Waller Explained Why He Changed His Mind on Cutting Interest Rates

HSBC: Maintains expectation that the Federal Reserve will hold steady for the next two years

HSBC: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged for the next two years.

Gold sees biggest weekly fall in 43 years as Iran war rages on

HSBC: Maintains Expectation of No Fed Rate Changes This Year and Next

Bitcoin Defies Global Selloff, Holding Strong Above $69K Support

Middle East conflict and interest rate hike expectations resonate: global assets experience major turmoil, US stocks decline for four consecutive weeks, bond market "bloodbath," gold records largest weekly drop in 43 years.

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