Affected by the asset freeze incident of debt repayment, short-term risk appetite for DEBT tokens has declined significantly, with prices falling from the recent highs into a choppy range. Weak consolidation is expected to dominate over the next 1-2 weeks, and chasing highs is not recommended. In the medium term, the marginal improvement in macro liquidity provides certain downside support for DEBT-related assets. A return of spot funds may help prices remain in the core support range (first support range: xx-xx USD), but leverage capital has not shown a noticeable increase, and there is still a risk of profit-taking at any time. For long-term value allocation, attention should be paid to improvements in project repayment transparency and changes in external macro liquidity. It is advised to control position sizes at this stage, closely monitor marginal changes in policies and market liquidity, and prioritize risk hedging strategies when volatility increases.

Recently, a debt asset worth hundreds of millions of USD has been frozen, undermining the project's debt buyback expectations. Although the project party reiterated its commitment to complete repayment within the set deadline and emphasized significant year-on-year revenue growth, constrained asset liquidity has led to a clear decline in short-term market risk appetite for the debt-related token. According to candlestick chart analysis, the token's price has retreated from its high to a previous choppy range, intensifying divergence between buyers and sellers. Overall, this news exerts significant short-term negative pressure on market sentiment.

Telegram's $500 million in Russian bonds have been frozen by the national settlement depository due to Western sanctions against Russia, hindering its debt buyback and raising investor concerns. Despite this, Telegram plans to repay its debts on schedule, with revenue up 65% year-on-year to $870 million, though it posted a $222 million net loss due to Toncoin devaluation. The company is advancing Ton ecosystem integration and preparing for an IPO.

Telegram's $500 million in bonds were frozen due to Western sanctions, exposing its financial exposure to Russia.

Bulk market data indicates that after a period of deleveraging, the digital asset market is entering a phase of moderate expansion, with spot demand recovering and financing costs remaining low. Market sentiment has consequently improved, with overall risk appetite rebounding. For debt-related tokens, an improving liquidity environment helps reduce liquidation risks and boost trading activity, establishing medium-term support. It is worth noting that the recent rally is primarily spot-driven, with leverage yet to catch up. Should major market participants shift to profit-taking, there could still be a phase of pullback.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

From a macro perspective, sustained loose monetary policies and debt expansion have triggered concerns about asset bubbles, while geopolitical tensions and technological changes have heightened the need for hedging. Investors now prefer diversified asset allocation, with attention not only to mainstream cryptocurrencies but also to debt-related derivatives and hedging instruments. In this context, debt tokens have the potential to secure a place in long-term allocation if on-chain transparency and repayment mechanisms are further improved. However, caution is advised regarding volatility risks in the event of tightened macro liquidity or a sudden rise in risk-off sentiment.

Throughout 2025, Robert Kiyosaki warned of a historic global market crash driven by prolonged quantitative easing, low interest rates, and excessive debt inflating asset bubbles. He linked current market stress to tightening liquidity, rising sovereign debt, AI-driven job losses, and geopolitical shifts. Kiyosaki emphasized bitcoin’s fixed supply and independence from central banks as protection against fiat debasement, recommending diversified portfolios including bitcoin, ethereum, gold, silver, and income-generating essential businesses.

A Look at Robert Kiyosaki’s Historic Crash Predictions and Bitcoin Advice

DebtCoin

Bitcoin (BTC) and Markets Focus on the Critical FED Interest Rate Decision! What Time Will It Be Announced? Here Are the Expectations and Everything...

GBP/USD: Iran shock risk for the UK – BNY

Mitsubishi UFJ: If the Federal Reserve emphasizes inflation risks, the US dollar may rise.

Gold: Rising oil clouds Fed easing hopes – OCBC

The market is focused on the Federal Reserve's assessment of rising inflation and its policy path.

Reminder: Please pay close attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

Australia’s inflation remained above the Reserve Bank’s 2-3% target band as higher fuel costs from Middle East supply disruptions compounded already-elevated price pressures to keep policymakers on a tightening path.

Uncertainty around the economic outlook and a leadership transition at the US central bank loom large over this week’s meeting of Federal Reserve officials, who are expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday.

Economists: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged, waiting for changes in employment and inflation.

Mexico’s central bank will consider one more interest rate cut at its May meeting that may bring an end to the easing cycle it started two years ago, Governor Victoria Rodriguez Ceja said.

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