Currently, DEXTF benefits from the recovery of market sentiment and improvement in leverage structure, with capital inflows mainly driven by spot buying, effectively reducing the risk of sharp pullbacks. A short-term bullish outlook is maintained; investors are advised to accumulate positions in batches near key support areas (suggested 10-15% pullback range), closely monitor spot demand and ETF premium fluctuations, and flexibly adjust positions in response to potential liquidity and arbitrage mechanism disturbances.

The crypto market has recently reached a turning point, with bullish sentiment somewhat restored. As key data indicators gradually shift towards improvement, the wait-and-see attitude among market participants has eased. Price fluctuations are becoming more stable during this period. Although trading volumes have not significantly increased, the balance between buyers and sellers has improved, short-term bullish sentiment is accumulating, laying the emotional foundation for DEXTF to achieve higher valuations.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

The Bitcoin market has smoothly transitioned from a de-leveraging phase to a moderate expansion phase, with positive Z-score signals confirming bullish momentum. Capital is mainly sourced from spot buying rather than high-risk leveraged positions. Such structural features reduce the likelihood of large-scale liquidations, limiting the risk of severe corrections and creating a healthier external environment for leveraged ETF products like DEXTF.

With short-term sentiment improvement combined with controllable leverage risk, DEXTF is expected to benefit from capital spillover effects and asset allocation demand. If prices can hold effective support during pullbacks, the medium-term trend will be further solidified; conversely, if spot demand drops rapidly, attention should be paid to the sensitivity of the ETF arbitrage mechanism. Investors are recommended to accumulate positions near key support levels in batches, and closely track changes in leverage rates and premium levels to flexibly adjust position proportions.

Memento

Ouch. The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield just hit 5% and bitcoin may pay the price.

Bank of Japan: High oil prices and a weak yen could keep core inflation at around 3% for two consecutive years

The Federal Reserve maintains the interest rate at 3.5%-3.75%, continuing its wait-and-see approach.

Morgan Stanley delays Fed rate cut expectations to next year, inflation pressures remain high.

The Powell era comes to an end: What has he left behind?

Reminder: Please pay special attention to the following (all times are in Beijing time).

US growth likely picked up in first quarter, but consumer spending probably cooled

Morgan Stanley: Expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged in 2026 and cut rates in 2027.

Bitcoin Slips to $75K as Federal Reserve Holds Rates, Dimming Warsh “Pivot Party” Hopes

SoSo Macro | Powell Remains Governor, Three Fed Voters Oppose Rate Cuts; Big Tech Cloud Revenue Growth Accelerates

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