Currently, under improved short-term liquidity and spot-driven capital influx, FLASH prices have technical rebound potential, with a suggested short-term target range of 5%~12% upside. However, as overall trading volume has not significantly recovered and long-term funds remain cautious, insufficient follow-up liquidity may result in rebound resistance and downside risk. It is recommended to adjust allocations flexibly, set take-profit points, and closely monitor liquidity changes in real time.

Recently, on-chain liquidity levels have been steadily rising, leading to a slight recovery in market trading fees, indicating increased willingness of short-term funds to return to the market. This change, together with asset allocation adjustments in the bottom region, is expected to trigger a technical rebound in prices, and investor sentiment is shifting from previous caution to cautious optimism.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

From on-chain leverage metrics and open interest trends, the current rebound is mainly driven by spot demand, with no sharp rise in the proportion of leveraged trades, indicating that the market has not entered an overly speculative phase. The steady growth of open interest aligns with the gradual price increase, further reducing the risk of sharp fluctuations due to forced liquidations.

Although short-term market sentiment has warmed, overall trading volume and fee levels have not returned to historical highs, and the long-term capital environment remains cautious. This means that insufficient subsequent improvement in liquidity or significant contraction in trading volume could quickly cool market sentiment and trigger price reversals.

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