SWPX is currently constrained by short-term liquidity tightening, resulting in noticeably insufficient trading volume and depth, with limited short-term volatility and a more cautious market sentiment. However, long-term contract liquidity has increased significantly, driven by political hedging demand, leading to protocol expansion, rising fee income, and steadily growing token staking. It is advisable to avoid chasing short-term price moves and focus on the platform’s steady long-term value growth. For SWPX, long-term valuation ranges should be dynamically adjusted in line with fundamental growth and protocol expansion progress.

Latest Polymarket data shows that the market's 24-hour trading volume for short-term (within one day) contracts is only $44,000, indicating serious liquidity shortages. This directly leads to limited SWPX trading depth, widened bid-ask spreads, and increased slippage risks. Short-term traders are noticeably cautious in this low-volume environment, which may compress SWPX’s short-term volatility and contribute to overall market prudence.

In contrast, liquidity for long-term (>30 days) contracts is 45 times greater than short-term, with growth driven primarily by U.S. political and geopolitical markets. This indicates Polymarket is shifting towards macro hedging and event-driven market logic, reinforcing the platform’s long-term value proposition. For SWPX, protocol fee income and token staking demand are expected to grow in tandem with long-term contract expansion, providing fundamental support for token value.

SwapX

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Goolsbee, the most concerning issue is inflation in the service sector.

Goolsbee: Inflation performs poorly, no evidence of deterioration in the job market yet.

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The initial one-year inflation rate expectation for the US in May is 4.5%, lower than expected.

Analysis: The Federal Reserve will not reconsider its statement that it is "not yet ready to tighten interest rates."

Economists: The U.S. industrial sector is experiencing a strong recovery.

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