Recently, ETH has shown a range-bound pattern, with prices repeatedly fluctuating between $2000 and $2200 in the short term. The core battle zone between bulls and bears is $2050~$2100. A surge in risk-off sentiment and institutional outflows may reinforce downside risks if ETH effectively breaches $2040, with key support at $1950. Conversely, if the price breaks above $2100 with accompanying volume, there may be room for a rebound. In the mid-to-long term, clearer regulation and the landing of industrial support are expected to strengthen Ethereum’s fundamental value. It is recommended to dynamically monitor changes at the range boundaries in the short term, adopt buy-low-sell-high and volume-price correlation strategies, and consider long-term allocation opportunities on pullbacks.

Last week, escalating global geopolitical conflicts drove risk-off sentiment, with crude oil surging, US 10-year Treasury yields rising, and the US dollar strengthening. This backdrop pressured digital assets into a pullback. ETH experienced three consecutive days of shrinking trading volume at the start of April, closing around $2050, reflecting short-term caution among bulls. Meanwhile, options markets faced over $2.1 billion in expirations on the 2nd, with both implied volatility and trading activity declining, further emphasizing a wait-and-see approach. A short-term drop below the key $1950 support could trigger long liquidation risks of nearly $900 million, amplifying downward pressure; conversely, a move above $2150 may lead to $750 million in short-covering and heightened near-term volatility.

Last week, the market was mainly driven by the escalation of the US-Iran conflict. WTI crude oil rose nearly 17% to above $100, pushing US Treasury yields higher (10Y at 4.44%) and strengthening the dollar. The crypto market fell over 6%, with the VIX rising to 31. In terms of funds, BTC and ETH ETFs saw a net outflow of about $500 million midweek, followed by a slight inflow.

Gate Institutional Weekly Report: BTC Funding Rate Turns Positive, CEX TradFi Trading Volume Soars

According to ChainCatcher and Coinglass data, if ETH falls below $1,951, the total long position liquidation on major centralized exchanges (CEX) will reach $877 million. Conversely, if ETH breaks above $2,154, the total short position liquidation on major CEXs will reach $750 million.

Data: If ETH falls below $1,951, the total long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $877 million.

On April 3, $2.12 billion worth of BTC and ETH options are set to expire, with BTC options dominating over 80% market share. Key indicators show a weak market with typical bear characteristics: low trading activity, declining implied volatility, and multiple DeFi project failures. Bitcoin and Ethereum options show reduced volatility and trading heat, reflecting poor performance in Q1 and early Q2, signaling that market confidence recovery will require time and capital.

Analyst: Options with a notional value of $2.12B will expire today, and various market indicators show typical bearish characteristics.

On the daily chart, since retreating from the $2350 high in mid-March, ETH has been oscillating between the $2000 and $2200 range. Currently, prices are probing the $2050–2085 band, forming a tug-of-war with the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA). Short-term EMAs remain fairly flat, with bulls and bears locked in a contest within the $2050–2100 range. If accompanied by increased volume, a breakout and hold above $2100 could restart a structural rebound; sustained trading below the 50EMA and a breakdown of $2040 support might extend the retracement pattern.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) shows signs of stabilization with higher lows and a tightening wedge pattern, indicating a potential breakout, though full recovery requires breaking resistance with increased volume. Ethereum (ETH) is displaying structural recovery, testing the 50 EMA and aiming for $3,000, contingent on sustained volume and higher lows. Dogecoin (DOGE) remains in a bearish downtrend, struggling to break resistance and lacking momentum, making the zero removal concept unlikely without significant capital inflow.

Shiba Inu (SHIB) Back to Life, Ethereum Now on Path to $3,000, Dogecoin's (DOGE) Zero Removal in Question: Crypto Market Review

On April 2, ETH spot ETFs recorded over $70 million in net outflows, led by BlackRock and Grayscale, signaling cautious institutional allocation in the short term. In contrast, CME's March ETH futures saw daily average trading volume surge over 50% month-on-month to a record high, reflecting increased professional investor interest in volatility plays. Additionally, technology and gaming companies have begun converting cash to ETH for diversified asset allocation, which provides some support to prices amid range-bound and liquidity-constrained markets.

Bitfarms secured $50 million in structured debt financing to purchase 2,000 BTC, reinforcing its position among North American miners. MicroAlgo launched a $15 million digital asset fund with a daily investment program to reduce volatility. Roblox converted 2% of its cash into ETH and AVAX to support its creator economy. S&P Global introduced the Corporate Bitcoin Treasury Index tracking firms with over 1% BTC exposure. Northern Data fully shifted to AI rendering and BTC treasury operations.

Bitfarms raises funds to purchase 2,000 BTC, Roblox experiments with 2% cash monetization, S&P launches a treasury index.

According to SoSoValue data reported by ChainCatcher, Ethereum spot ETFs saw a total net outflow of $71.17 million on April 2 (US Eastern Time). BlackRock's ETHA ETF led with a net outflow of $46.66 million, though it has a historical net inflow of $1.156 billion. Grayscale's ETHE ETF had a net outflow of $16.8 million, with a historical net outflow of $517.7 million. The total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs stood at $11.699 billion, representing 4.69% of Ethereum's total market cap, with a cumulative net inflow of $11.481 billion.

Data: Ethereum spot ETFs had a total net outflow of $71.168 million yesterday, with BlackRock's ETHA leading with a net outflow of $46.6635 million.

CME Group reported a 19% year-on-year increase in March cryptocurrency contract average daily trading volume, reaching 210,000 contracts with a notional value of $7.98 billion. Micro Bitcoin futures rose 6% to 77,000 contracts, while Ethereum futures surged 53% to 19,000 contracts. Overall, CME's average daily trading volume hit a monthly record of 41.1 million contracts in March, up 33%, and a quarterly record of 36.2 million contracts in Q1, up 22%.

CME's average daily trading of cryptocurrency contracts in March increased by 19%, with a notional value of $7.98B.

With US legislation progressing rapidly, ETH and other mainstream digital assets are facing a clearer compliance framework, which may bring short-term policy uncertainty but should enhance institutional participation over the long run. On the industry side, Layer 1 ecosystems and smart contract applications are expanding, with major platforms increasing ETH holdings or settlement support, consolidating the network’s foundational value. Provided risks remain controlled, these on-chain and off-chain developments are gradually building up Ethereum’s long-term value support.

U.S. lawmakers are accelerating progress on crypto regulation, putting Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and XRP under close watch as the countdown for the US CLARITY Act begins.

US CLARITY Act Countdown Start: Will BTC, ETH, XRP Rally?

The Ticker Is ETH

Crypto Faces Existential Token Glut as Supply Outpaces Value Growth

List of the Most Popular Altcoins Among Users Over the Past Week Released

Data: If ETH breaks $2,145, the total short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $498 million.

Analysis: Ethereum underperforms Bitcoin and appears undervalued after five years, with recovery and structural weakness competing intensely.

List of Altcoins with the Highest Inflows and Outflows Over the Past Week Has Been Released

Market Consolidation Continues; Inflation Concerns Reduce Likelihood of Federal Reserve Rate Cuts

A certain whale is suspected of selling 1,856 ETH, incurring a loss of $1.89 million.

Data: In the past 24 hours, the total liquidation across the entire network was $97.4282 million, with long position liquidations at $57.555 million and short position liquidations at $39.8732 million.

Data: Hyperliquid platform whales currently hold $3.532 billion, with a long-to-short position ratio of 1.06.

X Product Lead: Approximately 80% of cryptocurrency-related post activity is driven by bots.

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