CHWY is currently in a phase of marginal liquidity recovery and volatility convergence, and is showing short-term rebound momentum. However, confirmation of this trend through trading volume and persistent market strength require further validation. From a medium- to long-term perspective, although the macro environment still exhibits bear market characteristics, fundamental industry and trend signals have the potential to mark an inflection point. It is recommended to build positions in batches, moderately increase holdings with strict position management and clear stop-losses, premised on definitive trend confirmation. If the price consistently holds above the $25 range and is supported by increased volume, positions may be gradually added. If liquidity recedes or the $20 support level is broken, exit decisively and prioritize risk defense.

Recent candlestick trends show CHWY's price oscillating within a range without a clear breakout of key support or resistance, accompanied by converging volatility. Meanwhile, market liquidity is starting to return, setting conditions for a bottom rebound in price. In the short term, if trading volume increases as well, it can further confirm the strength of this rebound; however, investors should remain alert to the limited sustainability of the rebound and aim to capture arbitrage opportunities at peak-to-pullback points with small positions.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

Within the trend investing framework, the current stage remains in a macro bear market cycle, but signals for fundamental and trend inflection points in the industry are gradually emerging. Be proactive and follow the principle of 'buy in bull markets, sell in bear markets,' avoiding excessive chasing or bottom-fishing. For CHWY, position building should be based on phased trend confirmation, and holdings should be gradually increased when the uptrend is clearly established to benefit from subsequent upside potential.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Taking into account both news and technical signals, investors are advised to strictly manage position sizes and set sensible stop-loss levels to prevent excessive unexpected market pullbacks. At the same time, monitor liquidity changes and volume alignment; if rebound volume continues to expand, consider a buy-low-sell-high approach. If a liquidity inflection point emerges and declines, promptly close positions to avoid risks.

CHWY

The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in April reaches 98.4%.

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