FOLKS is currently in a high-level consolidation phase. In the short term, it is constrained by a general decline in risk appetite and intensified selling pressure on the spot side. The 1.52—1.56 USDT range is the main resistance zone; a breakout with sufficient volume could restart the upward trend. The lower support at 1.37—1.38 USDT is crucial—if breached, it may further test 1.33 USDT. In the medium and long term, increased ETF net inflows and stronger long-term allocation willingness will provide support for valuation, but watch for macro liquidity volatility and policy shocks. Strategically, it is advised to flexibly seize opportunities from short-term range fluctuations and, in the medium term, optimize allocation timing with attention to macro and funding changes.

Recently, market Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) shifted from positive to negative, indicating a significant increase in spot-side selling pressure. While the futures side shows rising speculative preference, decreasing long funding rates imply unstable market sentiment. Meanwhile, the narrowing demand for downside protection in the options market reflects a trend toward volatility normalization. In addition, short-term Bitcoin holders have seen some relief from profit and loss pressure, but prices remain below key cost lines, showing that risk appetite has not fully returned. In this context, mid- and small-cap assets like FOLKS are more susceptible to overall selling pressure, intensifying volatility.

Glassnode's latest report highlights intensified market tug-of-war with spot CVD turning negative, indicating increased selling pressure and emerging bearish sentiment. Futures show rising risk appetite but declining long funding rates, reflecting growing bearishness. Options suggest reduced downside protection demand and neutralizing volatility. Meanwhile, US spot ETFs see rising MVRV and inflows, boosting investor interest and supporting cautious optimism amid stable long-term holder confidence.

Glassnode: Market bullish and bearish struggles intensify, spot CVD turns negative indicating increased selling pressure, but ETF inflows provide support.

ChainCatcher reports that Bitcoin short-term holders' discount has narrowed from -21.6% to -5.7%, with the STH-SOPR 7-day average rising above 1, indicating short-term sellers are no longer clearly at a loss. However, the current price remains below the $83,000 cost basis, suggesting the market has not yet entered a true risk-on phase.

Data: Analysis: Short-term Bitcoin holders' discount narrows, market warms up but risk appetite has not yet started.

Since mid-April, FOLKS price quickly rose from 0.97 USDT to above 1.70 USDT, followed by divergent pullback adjustments, and is now consolidating around 1.45 USDT. With intraday volume at highs continuing to decline, long and short momentum is diverging, indicating weakening bullish drive. A clear resistance zone has formed in the 1.52—1.56 USDT range; a breakout could reignite the upward trend. Conversely, losing the 1.37—1.38 USDT support may lead to further tests of buying interest around 1.33 USDT. In the short term, attention should be paid to the interaction between volume-price coordination and key moving averages.

Institutional spot ETFs continue to witness net inflows, and position MVRV is steadily rising, reflecting increased willingness for long-term capital allocation, which supports the valuation of risk assets including FOLKS. On the other hand, geopolitical tensions and expectations of physical oil supply shortages may strengthen safe-haven demand, while macro liquidity may see episodic fluctuations. Overall, if market liquidity remains loose and enthusiasm for allocating to digital assets persists, FOLKS is expected to benefit in the medium to long term; however, one should remain cautious about potential macro and policy shocks impacting fund flows.

FOLKS

Analyst: Interest rate decision will be the main market driver, focus on the impact of Middle East conflict.

US Treasury yields rise, market focuses on this week's central bank meetings.

Barclays: The Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged this week, but may still cut rates within the year.

Bank of England to keep rates on hold while it gauges impact of Iran war

The Bank of Japan is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Tuesday, setting up a communication challenge for Governor Kazuo Ueda as the foundering yen hovers near levels that have prompted past interventions.

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in April is 100%, while the probability of a rate cut in June is only 4.7%.

HTX DeepThink: After Interest Rate Cut Expectations Are Postponed to September, the Structural Differentiation of the Crypto Market Intensifies

FOMC Meeting: US Fed Expected To Hold Rates Till 2027 Despite Kevin Warsh Taking Charge

Senate Committee Sets April 29 Vote To Advance Pro-Crypto Warsh’s Fed Chair Nomination

The global oil shock has the Fed cornered just days before its next meeting — what that means for Bitcoin

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FOLKS Price: FOLKS Live Price Today | FOLKS Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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FOLKS price today is 1.41, with a live price change of 2.24 in the last 24 hours. Convert, buy, sell and trade FOLKS on Bybit-eu.

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