HINT currently benefits from the expansion of prediction market applications and overall sentiment improvement, leading to a significant increase in short-term liquidity and attention. Capital inflows are likely to continue; however, due to the order book model's volatility and professional entry barriers, there are limits to sustained activity. New demand may be difficult to maintain in the long term. In terms of trend, it is advisable to follow market sentiment and go long; aggressive investors may focus on the pullback range (-8% to -12%). For medium-term positions, if the price fails to break through the key resistance level above (qualitative: previous platform high, quantitative: around +20%), positions should be controlled, and caution is advised regarding high-level oscillations and liquidity withdrawals caused by profit-taking.

Recently, major prediction market platforms have created new trading categories using real housing price indices, introducing more scenario-based hedging and speculative demand for the industry. This move is expected to attract more user attention to prediction market ecosystems and related tokens, as well as boost trading volume and liquidity in the short term. However, prediction markets still face holding risks and jump volatility under the order book model at the market-making layer, and reliance on subsidies alone is unsustainable in the long run. Overall, the launch of new scenarios is positive for applications, but professional barriers and funding thresholds may weaken the sustainability of increased activity.

Polymarket has launched a new real estate prediction market in partnership with Parcl, using Parcl's daily housing price indices as transparent settlement data. This allows users to trade predictions on monthly, quarterly, or annual home price movements in major U.S. cities via USDC on Polygon. The market provides a novel way to hedge or speculate on real estate price risks without selling physical assets, introducing liquidity and real-time pricing to a traditionally illiquid market.

How to trade real estate in prediction markets

Big data institutions have indicated that market sentiment is showing signs of recovery and is at a turning point that warrants caution for reversals. Meanwhile, veteran investors emphasize a trend-following investment approach—deploying positions during bull markets, reducing positions during bear markets, and not chasing extreme price swings. From an investor psychology perspective, this stage often sees short-term buying to catch rebounds, but the risk of pullbacks should not be ignored. For HINT, overall sector sentiment improvement will bring capital inflows and a short-term bullish outlook; if a clear upward trend fails to materialize, rapid profit taking may lead to oscillations and volatility.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua emphasized the importance of trend investing, stating that one should buy in a bull market and sell in a bear market. He noted that it's impossible to buy at the lowest or sell at the highest points. Yi highlighted that their approach is simply to share their understanding and operations without competing with others, and that profits or losses are determined by the market, alongside personal growth and connections made during the process.

Yi Lihua: Stick to trend investing, winning or losing is determined by the market.

Hive Intelligence

The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in April reaches 98.4%.

President Trump’s warning that he may significantly escalate the war in Iran, potentially worsening an energy-price shock that’s already upending the global economic outlook, is shadowing stock, bond and oil markets.

Polymarket puts US-Iran invasion odds at 63% after Trump post

US jobs crush forecasts, yet hidden labor weakness could keep Bitcoin under pressure

Federal Reserve Set to Hold Rates as Markets Fully Price Out 2026 Cuts

Analysis: The US-Iran standoff lacks a way out, increasing the risk of escalation

Crypto braces for volatility as Warsh hearing nears and rate cut odds slide

Economist: US March CPI monthly rate may surge 1%, Federal Reserve may find it difficult to cut interest rates this year.

Economists predict that the US CPI will increase by 1% month-over-month in March, making it difficult for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.

Slepne: The European Central Bank will discuss either raising interest rates or keeping them unchanged.

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