The current bullish structure of LIQD has been confirmed at this stage, with bottom-side capital support strengthening. In the short term, there is a probability that short covering will push the price to break through the key resistance level of $2.15. Although the market share of the industry leader has substantially decreased and the competitive landscape has shifted to focus on matching efficiency and user incentives, it is important to remain cautious about emerging DEXs within the sector continually siphoning off users and liquidity in the long term. Attention is recommended on LIQD’s technical and incentive mechanism developments in the coming quarter. If trading depth and community activity can be effectively improved, it is expected that the medium-to-long-term price could revisit the $2.5 region. In terms of operations, phased allocation is advised on pullbacks in the $1.85-2.00 range, increasing positions after breaking through $2.15, and dynamically tracking industry innovation trends during the process to guard against the risk of losing market share.

In recent years, the founder has continuously stressed the importance of trend investing and pointed out that short funds are facing the risk of forced covering as multiple bearish macro and liquidity expectations fail to materialize. Technically, LIQD’s price has repeatedly tested key support levels, with trading volume gradually increasing in the bottom region. Short-term moving averages are showing bullish alignment, indicating signs of bullish momentum accumulation. Against the backdrop of overall market sentiment shifting from pessimism to optimism, short covering could become an upward catalyst in subsequent moves, driving the price to break out of range-bound fluctuations and further validate early bull market signals.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua reflects on a decade in crypto, emphasizing the importance of trend investing and ignoring short-term fluctuations. He notes that bears are making a last effort, betting on a four-year cycle, US AI bubble, and liquidity decline, but these have failed. Their short positions will fuel the upcoming rally. Yi urges focus on investment research and respecting professional analysts, with Liquid Capital committed to learning and progress.

Yi Lihua: The bears are still making their final efforts, which will become the fuel for the upward movement.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua reflects on a decade in crypto, emphasizing the importance of improving investment and trading understanding, focusing on trend investing, and ignoring short-term fluctuations. He notes that bears are making a last effort, betting on factors like the four-year cycle and liquidity decline, but these bets are failing and will fuel a short squeeze during the market rise. He urges focus on professional research and continuous learning.

Yi Lihua: Bears are making their final efforts, which will become fuel for the upward movement.

Liquid Capital founder Yi Lihua stated that respected investors like Buffett profit from value and trends, not speculation. He affirmed that 2024 is set to be a bull market due to macro and industry factors beyond individual control. Short sellers are making a final effort but face losses—exiting early means small losses, exiting late means large losses. After a month of market volatility, optimism will prevail while pessimists lag behind.

Yi Lihua: Trend is better than speculation, the bull market is set, bears face "small losses early, big losses late."

Latest data show the leading platform, which previously held a 70% market share, has seen its share drop to 20%. Many emerging perpetual contract DEXs are attracting user capital through technological innovation, capital support, and incentive mechanisms. This change in the competitive landscape indicates the market is entering a stage centered on real trading demand. For the ecosystem where LIQD operates, the dispersal of industry share not only brings short-term earnings growth pressure but also pushes the platform to optimize liquidity depth and user incentive programs. If Liquid Capital can strengthen matching efficiency on the technical front and continue to iterate in token incentives and community governance, it is likely to regain the initiative in the new round of DEX competition and solidify its long-term value foundation.

At the beginning of the year, Hyperliquid dominated the Perp DEX market with over 70% share. However, in the second half, emerging Perp DEXs like Aster, Lighter, and EdgeX gained traction, reducing Hyperliquid's market share to around 20%. The market has now entered a new phase characterized by competition in technology, capital, incentives, and real demand.

Hotcoin Research | Review of Leading Perp DEXs: Cold Reflections Amid Data Frenzy and Outlook for 2026

Liquid Finance

Crypto Market Remains Range-Bound; US Jobs Report Exceeds Expectations

Institutions: The stronger-than-expected rebound in March non-farm payrolls demonstrates the resilience of the US labor market, with inflation currently being the core variable in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

Huatai Securities: March Nonfarm Payroll Data Reflects Resilience of the US Job Market, Inflation Becomes the Core Variable in Fed Policy

Crypto traders fade 2026 Fed cuts as U.S. unemployment dips, but risk assets hold bid

The IMF calls on the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates.

The Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice this year to support the labor market.

CICC: Investment demand and prices for gold may both have room for upward correction.

Stronger, broader hiring could ease Fed job market worries

Fed's Daly: The Federal Reserve should focus on the employment rate rather than employment data.

US military activity in Iran drives prediction market surge for troop presence

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