The current liquidity rebound is driving a short-term bounce in XMW, and the market is likely to form a stage bottom in January. However, trading volume and transaction fees remain depressed, reflecting insufficient long-term market activity and a structurally bearish outlook. It is advisable to pay close attention to key resistance levels above (such as recent high ranges) in the short term. Until there is a significant breakout with increased volume, maintain caution in position size and set stop-loss and take-profit points to guard against pullback risks from a potentially weak follow-through after the rebound.

Based on market liquidity data, analysts judge that the capital environment is currently warming up, which may lead XMW to stage a short-term bottom rebound in January. Liquidity enhancement typically signals stronger buying interest, and during the bottoming process, the market can exhibit oscillating upward movement within consolidation zones. Short-term sentiment is likely to see a recovery.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

Although short-term liquidity conditions have improved, overall trading volume and on-chain transaction fees are still at low levels, indicating that market participation has yet to substantially rebound. On the macro cycle level, the liquidity uptick is unlikely to sustain long-term price support; the market structure remains bearish, and it is important to be alert for the potential risk of a weak follow-through after any rebound.

Other analyst views suggest the market is showing signs of improvement, but the current sample size and trend confirmation signals are still insufficient for a clear directional judgment. It is recommended to closely monitor subsequent changes in trading volume and key price level breakthroughs, avoid the risks of early position entries, and utilize stop-loss and take-profit strategies when necessary.

Morphware

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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Morphware Price: XMW Live Price Today | XMW Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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