TUSD is currently fluctuating within a narrow range centered around $1.00 (0.996–1.01), with its pegging mechanism demonstrating strong resilience. Driven by the recovery of risk appetite in the digital asset market and ample USD liquidity, TUSD has seen increased minting/redemption activities and more volatile trading volumes in the short term, resulting in improved capital flow efficiency. Given that daily technical patterns remain range-bound, it is recommended to maintain efficient liquidity management within the 0.998–1.003 range, consider capturing price spreads via high-frequency trading strategies when appropriate, and strictly control depegging risks, avoiding aggressive buying or selling actions.

Recently, Bitcoin's price has risen more than 8% over two consecutive weeks, briefly hitting a 73-day high. The Nasdaq and tech stocks have also frequently reached new highs, indicating an overall recovery in risk appetite. Meanwhile, funding rates for perpetual contracts in the derivatives market remain negative, suggesting cautious sentiment despite new buying interest. In such an environment, some traders have opted to exchange TUSD and other stablecoins for digital assets to capture short-term gains, leading to temporary depegging fluctuations in TUSD between 0.998 and 1.003.

Bitcoin has risen 8% in the past two weeks, reaching around $74,000. Max Kahn, CEO of Digital Wealth Partners, identifies three key factors for the next surge: energy-driven inflation trends, Federal Reserve monetary policy expectations favoring easing if inflation is controlled, and continued institutional inflows, with Bitcoin ETFs recording $523 million net inflow in April, extending strong momentum since March.

Analysis: Bitcoin "Fear Has Receded," Three Major Catalysts Support Price Surge to $75,000

Bitcoin rose to around $74,935 during the Asian session, up 0.7% in 24 hours and 5.4% weekly, driven mainly by spot buying rather than broad risk appetite. Derivatives markets show caution: perpetual contract funding rates remain negative, open interest declines, and options indicate higher demand for downside protection. This suggests a rebound, not a trend reversal, amid ongoing risk aversion and cautious sentiment despite gains.

Analysis: Bitcoin strengthens along with US stocks, but the options market still bets on downside risk.

The Middle East ceasefire and US-Iran nuclear talks progress have eased geopolitical risks, pressuring oil prices and boosting global risk assets. The Nasdaq set a record 12-day winning streak, with tech and AI sectors attracting capital. Bitcoin rebounded above $74,000 amid steady ETF flows and balanced leverage liquidations. However, Democratic opposition delays Fed nominee Wash's hearing, increasing leadership uncertainty and market volatility risks.

Bitget UEX Daily Report | Hopes for Middle East Peace Rise, Nasdaq Hits Record 12 Consecutive Gains, Anthropic Releases New AI Model

Tech stocks' strength and optimism over easing US-Iran tensions drove the Nasdaq to a record 24,016.02 points, up 1.59%, and the S&P 500 to 7,022.95 points, up 0.8%. Bitcoin briefly reached $75,229, rising 1.07% in 24 hours and nearly 10% over two weeks. Fundstrat CIO Tom Lee suggests the next rally phase may be led by Bitcoin, Ether, and tech stocks.

Analysis: Tech stocks rally drives US stocks to new highs, Bitcoin hits $75,000

The revival of buying in the US market and a monthly net inflow of over $500 million into Bitcoin ETFs have contributed to loose USD liquidity. As a result, the pace of TUSD minting and redemption has accelerated: on April 2–3, daily trading volume surged to 13,000–18,000 units, with prices briefly climbing near 1.012; afterwards, a slight pullback was observed. These minting and redemption dynamics reflect investors’ high-frequency in-and-out demand for stablecoins amid ample liquidity.

According to Coinglass data on April 16, Coinbase's Bitcoin premium index has been positive for 8 consecutive days, currently at 0.0401%, indicating a continued recovery in US market buying sentiment after 15 days of negative premium. The index measures the price difference of Bitcoin on Coinbase compared to the global average, reflecting US market capital flow, institutional interest, and market sentiment. Positive premium suggests strong US buying, active institutional participation, ample dollar liquidity, and optimistic investor sentiment.

Buying sentiment in the US market continues to improve, with the Coinbase Bitcoin premium index remaining positive for 8 consecutive days.

From a daily chart perspective, TUSD quotes have long oscillated narrowly around the $1.00 level, with highs and lows concentrated between 0.996 and 1.01 and no persistent unilateral trend visible. The moving averages are flat, and spikes in trading volume typically revert to normal levels, suggesting that TUSD pricing is still mainly guided by its pegging mechanism. In the short term, key resistance can be found in the 1.005–1.01 area, while support is concentrated at the 0.996–0.998 range, maintaining a balanced structure.

Analyst Alicharts noted that Ethereum's weekly MACD is forming a golden cross. In the last three instances, this signal preceded ETH price increases of 130%, 74%, and 98%. While the MACD golden cross often indicates strengthening momentum, past performance does not guarantee future results, and analysis should consider the macro environment and overall market sentiment.

Viewpoint: Ethereum's weekly MACD is forming a golden cross, with the last three occurrences indicating at least a 74% increase.

In Q1 2026, the Ethereum to Bitcoin price ratio (ETH/BTC) rebounded to 0.0313, a three-month high, indicating a recovery in the crypto market. Ethereum network users grew 82% year-on-year to 284,000, with transaction volume reaching 200.4 million. Stablecoin supply exceeded $180 billion, about 60% of the global market. Analysts suggest that if ETH/BTC closes above 0.035 weekly, it signals continued inflows into Ethereum and high-risk assets. Bitcoin remains above $74,000, supported by over $56 billion inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs.

Analysis: Ethereum-Bitcoin price ratio rebounds, overall crypto market recovers

TrueUSD

It’s not a given that the European Central Bank’s next move on interest rates will be a hike, according to Governing Council member Martins Kazaks.

Kazaks: Will not oppose bets on two interest rate hikes this year

Waller: Rapid resolution of the Middle East situation may allow for interest rate cuts later this year.

Waller: Overall PCE inflation year-over-year in March may reach 3.5%

The Federal Reserve's Waller expressed caution regarding interest rates, warning of the risks of prolonged warfare.

Fed's Daly: Rates May Remain Unchanged

Daly: The federal funds rate is slightly above the neutral level of 3%.

UBS Expects 50 bps Fed Rate Cuts as Gov Miran Downplays Inflation Risks

Federal Reserve's Daly: On hold regarding interest rates.

Easing tensions in the Middle East combined with rising expectations of interest rate cuts have pushed gold close to $4,900.

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TrueUSD Price: TUSD Live Price Today | TUSD Market Cap & Chart Analysis | Bybit-eu

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