MIRAI is currently benefiting from the AI-themed sector rotation and liquidity recovery, achieving a short-term rebound from the bottom. The short-term capital structure is dominated by spot trading with limited leverage penetration, reducing liquidation risk and supporting a moderate price increase. It is expected to steadily move up within the current range (with a fluctuation range of 6-12%). However, in the medium to long term, macro liquidity and trading activity indicators have not yet returned to high levels, and valuation correction pressure remains. It is recommended to follow the short-term sentiment repair with moderate allocation, set strict take-profit and stop-loss thresholds, and be cautious of valuation correction risk caused by sudden changes in the macro environment.

Recently, overall market sentiment has improved somewhat, but caution and wait-and-see attitudes persist. Major assets have moved away from previous deleveraging, showing a structural shift from reducing positions to mild expansion. Trading activity is stabilizing and rising, indicating renewed interest in crypto assets. However, most of the upward movement is driven by spot trading with limited participation from leverage, suggesting that while the short-term outlook is improving, there is insufficient momentum to support drastic volatility.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

As liquidity returns, the market sees a staged rebound from the bottom, with large investors increasing their willingness to buy the dip, driving short-term price recovery. In addition, capital is shifting from highly speculative sectors to AI-themed assets with practical application scenarios, and related indices have risen by over 6%, highlighting the market's favor toward the AI track. As a typical AI concept token, MIRAI may benefit from this round of sector rotation and gain premium opportunities.

Analyst Willy Woo tweeted that he expects a short-term rebound in January due to rising liquidity, signaling a bottoming bounce. However, based on trading volume and fees, he remains bearish on the long-term macro cycle, describing the market as bleak.

Willy Woo: There will be a short-term bottoming rebound in January.

On January 6, with Bitcoin holding above $93,000, the crypto market saw funds shift from Meme coins to tokens with practical applications, notably AI-themed tokens. Functional indices like DeFi and metaverse rose over 4%, while Meme coin indices remained flat or declined. Render Network surged about 20%, and other AI tokens gained over 6%. This trend aligns with optimism in AI and tech stocks, though geopolitical risks and US employment data may impact sentiment. Continued Bitcoin ETF inflows are crucial for further gains.

Analysis: The crypto market's rebound momentum strengthens, with AI concept tokens outperforming Meme coins.

Although improved liquidity provides short-term benefits, from a macro-cycle perspective, the market remains in a weak long-term trend. Trading volume and fee levels have not returned to historical highs, and bullish momentum is insufficient to support a sustained rise. If the overall macro environment and liquidity conditions do not continue to improve, AI tokens will also face valuation correction risks. Caution should be maintained in the medium to long term.

The current rise mainly depends on the spot market, resulting in a healthier capital structure. Opening interest rates and leverage have slightly increased but have not surged, which weakens the possibility of large-scale liquidations. This technical structure helps suppress short-term excessive volatility and supports MIRAI's steady climb. However, if there is rapid leverage reversal or sudden macro negatives, the market may still come under pressure.

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