AKA's current market sentiment has shifted from cautious pessimism to cautious optimism. Short-term willingness to increase positions after approval has risen, but the core macro bullish signals still need further confirmation. Structurally, the market has moved from a deleveraging phase to moderate expansion. The positive Z-Score and stable growth in positions indicate that bullish allocations are more rational. Spot-driven price appreciation has reduced the risk of large-scale liquidations from high leverage. For short-term investment, it is suggested to pay attention to the key support in the $180-$195 range, prioritize stability, avoid chasing highs, and wait for macro confirmation signals before increasing allocations.

Recently, the market trend has begun to show subtle changes, with most investors gradually returning to a wait-and-see stance after consecutive pullbacks. While macro-level bullish signals have not yet been fully established, there are early signs of trend changes, suggesting that short-term capital may regain interest in entering positions. However, more data is still required to validate the marginal improvement in sentiment, to avoid confirming a reversal prematurely and encountering unexpected risks.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfrost noted on January 4 that the cryptocurrency market is beginning to improve, urging caution against dismissing this trend prematurely. While more data is needed for definitive conclusions, some trend changes are starting to emerge, making this a critical time to pay close attention.

Analysis: The crypto market is beginning to improve, with some trend changes gradually becoming apparent.

The Bitcoin market has transitioned from a pure deleveraging phase to a stage of moderate expansion. The Z-Score turning positive indicates a recovery in bullish confidence, yet negative divergence persists, meaning that upward momentum is mainly driven by spot buying, forming a natural barrier against the risks of blindly chasing with leverage. The steady and slight increase in open interest, coupled with moderate price appreciation, helps to reduce the likelihood of severe liquidation events and reflects a relatively healthy bullish positioning.

Akasha

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